CCOI:NASDAQCogent Communications Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-15 - not real-time
$11.31
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
At $11.31, Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 12.9%. Relative strength is 44.6 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $9.00 and resistance around $13.77.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Sell-side targets cluster 62.0% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 4.2% on a -5.1% profit margin. The 0.77% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 95.2%, a beta of 1.74 and a maximum drawdown of 78.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Sell-side targets cluster 62.0% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 4.2% on a -5.1% profit margin. The 0.77% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 95.2%, a beta of 1.74 and a maximum drawdown of 78.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
Top Market Events
Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. CCOI Securities Fraud Class Action Lawsuit Filed; September 21, 2026, Lead...CCOI Investors Have Opportunity to Lead Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc.Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. CCOI Investors: September 21, 2026, Deadline in Securities Fraud Class Action...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 19.75
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Dividend yield of 0.77% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 19.75
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 0.77% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Negative profit margin of -5.1%
- Analyst targets imply +62.0% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-4.20%
Profit Margin-5.14%
P/E Ratio-4.3
ROE-721.50%
ROA-1.23%
P/B Ratio-15.9
Op. Cash Flow$15.1M
Free Cash Flow$-132067000
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.6
Support$9.00
Resistance$13.77
MA 20$12.03
MA 50$13.18
MA 200$19.75
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.98
Valuation
Target Price$18.32
Upside/Downside61.96%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.77%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.74
Volatility95.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.