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CCEP:LSECoca-Cola Europacific Partners plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

£7,375.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Coca‑Cola Europacific Partners shows a bullish technical backdrop with price trading above its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages and a strong MACD signal, while the momentum indicator remains comfortably in the upper half of its range. The company is reinforcing shareholder returns through a sizeable share‑buyback programme, underscoring confidence in cash generation. However, valuation metrics suggest the market price is notably above intrinsic estimates, and the modest earnings growth combined with a relatively high price‑to‑book ratio points to a premium valuation. The dividend yield remains attractive and the payout ratio is comfortably below the threshold that would strain cash flow, supporting the case for income‑focused investors. Overall, the stock sits in a defensive consumer sector with low beta, but moderate price volatility and exposure to multiple currencies temper the upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical positioning near support levels
  • Share‑buyback execution providing near‑term price support
  • Overvalued relative to discounted cash‑flow estimate

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash flow and sustainable dividend payout
  • Limited earnings growth offset by defensive consumer demand
  • Potential for further buyback‑driven price appreciation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent dividend yield and strong free cash flow generation
  • Defensive sector positioning with low systematic risk
  • Long‑term brand strength and global distribution network

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.20%
Profit Margin9.29%
P/E Ratio20.0
ROE22.89%
ROA5.72%
Debt/Equity130.00
P/B Ratio4.9
Op. Cash Flow£3.0B
Free Cash Flow£1.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.7
Support£6,605.00
Resistance£7,495.00
MA 20£7,071.00
MA 50£7,057.60
MA 200£6,952.85
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.5

Valuation

Fair Value£3,066.92
Target Price£7,607.85
Upside/Downside3.16%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.44%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility21.38%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.