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CBK:XETRCommerzbank AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-26 - not real-time

$34.24

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At $34.24, Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. It has gained 4.4% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 51.0 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $33.30 and resistance around $35.78.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 11.6 times earnings against the sector's 17.1. Analyst price targets sit 16.8% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 6.7% on a 42.5% profit margin. The 0.94% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 22.0%, a beta of 0.34 and a maximum drawdown of 9.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 6/10.

Top Market Events

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Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 28.19
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 11.6 versus sector average of 17.1
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 28.19

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 11.6 versus sector average of 17.1
  • Analyst targets imply +16.8% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 42.5% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin42.53%
P/E Ratio11.6
ROE14.63%
ROA1.70%
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash Flow$40.9M
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.0
Support$33.30
Resistance$35.78
MA 20$34.66
MA 50$33.49
MA 200$28.19
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.84

Valuation

Fair Value$35.10
Target Price$40.00
Upside/Downside16.82%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.94%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.34
Volatility22.03%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.