CBK:CRYPTOCAPMarket Cap CBK, $ Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
$28.69
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Commercial Bancgroup (CBK) is trading at $28.69, just above its 20‑day SMA of $28.68 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of $27.61, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. Volume is increasing and the stock holds a solid support level at $27.25, while resistance sits near $29.75, offering modest upside. The RSI of 54 suggests the price is not overbought, and although the MACD shows a bearish histogram, the overall trend remains bullish. Valuation metrics are compelling: a trailing PE of 10.3 is well below the industry average of 16.8, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $35.68 implies roughly 18% upside. The company delivers strong profitability with a 41.8% profit margin and a 55% operating margin, and a ROE of 14.6% underscores efficient capital use. Dividend sustainability is high, with a modest 0.7% yield and a payout ratio of just 3.6%, leaving ample room for future increases.
Risk‑adjusted returns appear attractive; beta is low at 0.51, indicating limited market volatility, while 30‑day volatility of 21.7% is moderate for a regional bank. The balance sheet shows a healthy cash position of $182.9M against $132.8M of debt, and the max drawdown of under 10% reflects resilience. Given these fundamentals, CBK presents a value‑oriented investment with upside potential and low dividend risk, suitable for investors seeking stable earnings and modest growth in the financial services sector.
Risk‑adjusted returns appear attractive; beta is low at 0.51, indicating limited market volatility, while 30‑day volatility of 21.7% is moderate for a regional bank. The balance sheet shows a healthy cash position of $182.9M against $132.8M of debt, and the max drawdown of under 10% reflects resilience. Given these fundamentals, CBK presents a value‑oriented investment with upside potential and low dividend risk, suitable for investors seeking stable earnings and modest growth in the financial services sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price holding above support and SMA levels
- Increasing volume supporting the bullish trend
- MACD bearish histogram suggesting caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value indicates ~18% upside
- PE well below industry average
- Strong profit margins and low beta
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Consistent profitability and solid ROE
- Defensive regional bank exposure with limited volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.30%
Profit Margin41.77%
P/E Ratio10.3
ROE14.64%
ROA1.65%
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$38.4M
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI54.2
Support$27.25
Resistance$29.75
MA 20$28.68
MA 50$27.61
MA 200$25.85
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8
Valuation
Fair Value$35.68
Target Price$34.00
Upside/Downside18.51%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.70%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.51
Volatility21.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.