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CAR:ASXCAR Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-31 - not real-time

A$27.65

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind CAR Group Limited is neutral at AUD 27.65, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Over a rolling month the price has gained 7.6%. Relative strength is 47.9 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at AUD 25.90 and resistance at AUD 30.10.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 33.3 times earnings against the sector's 16.2. The average analyst target implies 20.5% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 3.8% on a 25.0% profit margin. The 3.16% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 7 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 47.7%, a beta of 0.49 and a maximum drawdown of 44.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.

Top Market Events

Investors were gobbling up CAR Group Ltd ASX: CAR shares yesterday after the company released FY26 results.What is Ord Minnett saying about CAR Group Limited ASX: CAR , Judo Capital Holdings Ltd ASX: JDO , and Worley Ltd ASX:...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 27.28
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of +7.6%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 33.3 versus sector average of 16.2
  • Dividend yield of 3.16% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 27.28

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 33.3 versus sector average of 16.2
  • Dividend yield of 3.16% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Analyst targets imply +20.5% versus the current price

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin25.03%
P/E Ratio33.3
ROE11.34%
ROA6.15%
Debt/Equity57.03
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash FlowA$577.2M
Free Cash FlowA$399.9M
Industry P/E16.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.9
SupportA$25.90
ResistanceA$30.10
MA 20A$28.52
MA 50A$26.90
MA 200A$27.28
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.93

Valuation

Fair ValueA$12.57
Target PriceA$33.32
Upside/Downside20.51%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility47.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.