CAH:NYSECardinal Health, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
$200.68
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Cardinal Health posted a solid top‑line beat, with revenue climbing 11% YoY to $250.7 B and operating earnings rising 29% to $707 M, while non‑GAAP EPS surged 19% to $1.97, comfortably exceeding analyst expectations. At a market price of $200.68, the stock trades well below the DCF‑derived fair value of $406.74, implying a potential upside of over 22% and positioning the company as undervalued despite a trailing P/E of ~30 versus the industry average of 27.6. The dividend remains modest at 1.02% with a payout ratio around 31%, supported by robust operating cash flow exceeding $5 B, suggesting sustainability.
Technical indicators are mixed but lean bullish: the MACD histogram is positive, the signal line turned bullish, and RSI sits at a neutral 53, while price sits comfortably above the 20‑day SMA (194.75) and below the 50‑day SMA (204.41), indicating room for further upside toward the $206.6 resistance. Volatility is elevated at ~31% over 30 days, yet beta is essentially neutral, and the company’s exposure is largely domestic, limiting currency and geographic risk. Combined with a strong analyst consensus of “strong buy,” the fundamentals, valuation gap, and dividend profile support a positive outlook.
Technical indicators are mixed but lean bullish: the MACD histogram is positive, the signal line turned bullish, and RSI sits at a neutral 53, while price sits comfortably above the 20‑day SMA (194.75) and below the 50‑day SMA (204.41), indicating room for further upside toward the $206.6 resistance. Volatility is elevated at ~31% over 30 days, yet beta is essentially neutral, and the company’s exposure is largely domestic, limiting currency and geographic risk. Combined with a strong analyst consensus of “strong buy,” the fundamentals, valuation gap, and dividend profile support a positive outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Earnings beat and accelerating revenue growth
- Technical bullish signal from MACD histogram
- Attractive upside to DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustained dividend yield with low payout ratio
- Strong cash flow generation supporting operations and buybacks
- Analyst consensus of strong‑buy and favorable forward P/E
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term valuation gap versus intrinsic fair value
- Stable business model in the defensive healthcare distribution sector
- Continued growth potential from specialty solutions and service offerings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.00%
Profit Margin0.62%
P/E Ratio30.7
ROA3.60%
P/B Ratio-16.7
Op. Cash Flow$5.0B
Free Cash Flow$4.8B
Industry P/E27.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI53.1
Support$180.45
Resistance$206.61
MA 20$194.75
MA 50$204.41
MA 200$191.95
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value$406.74
Target Price$245.27
Upside/Downside22.22%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.02%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.01
Volatility30.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.