BTC-USD:BINANCEBTC / USD Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-05 - not real-time
$79,677.52
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Bitcoin USD trades at $79,677.52, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. It has gained 24.0% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 66.5, which reads as approaching overbought, and MACD momentum is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $62,687.10 and resistance at $82,262.21.
At $1.60T in market value it sits in the large-cap tier of the asset class. 24-hour turnover of $1.24B equals 0.1% of market cap. The last 24 hours moved -2.0%.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 38.6%, a beta of 1.00 and a maximum drawdown of 53.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.
At $1.60T in market value it sits in the large-cap tier of the asset class. 24-hour turnover of $1.24B equals 0.1% of market cap. The last 24 hours moved -2.0%.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 38.6%, a beta of 1.00 and a maximum drawdown of 53.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.
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Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 69683.26
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of +24.0%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 69683.26
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of +24.0%
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 53.1%
- 30-day volatility of 38.6%
- Beta of 1.00 versus the benchmark
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fundamental Metrics
Market Cap$1599.6B
24h Volume$1.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI66.5
Support$62,687.10
Resistance$82,262.21
MA 20$76,454.59
MA 50$69,091.83
MA 200$69,683.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48
Risk Assessment
Beta1.00
Volatility38.57%
Reg. RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.