BRBY:LSEBurberry Group plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time
£1,134.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Burberry is trading well below its discounted cash‑flow implied fair value, suggesting a pricing gap despite a trailing P/E that is extremely high and profit margins that are thin. The recent earnings report disappointed investors, triggering a sharp slide in the share price and reinforcing a bearish technical bias, although the MACD histogram has turned positive and the RSI hovers around the midpoint, hinting at a possible short‑term bounce. Volume is on the rise, which could support a reversal if buying interest picks up, but the company’s balance sheet remains heavily leveraged with debt far exceeding equity, and revenue growth is barely perceptible.
Overall, the stock appears fairly valued when considering its intrinsic valuation versus earnings multiples, and it leans more toward a value play given the modest growth outlook. There is no dividend to speak of, and the mix of sector cyclicality, global exposure, and currency sensitivities adds layers of risk. Investors should weigh the upside potential against the high leverage and recent earnings weakness when forming a position.
Overall, the stock appears fairly valued when considering its intrinsic valuation versus earnings multiples, and it leans more toward a value play given the modest growth outlook. There is no dividend to speak of, and the mix of sector cyclicality, global exposure, and currency sensitivities adds layers of risk. Investors should weigh the upside potential against the high leverage and recent earnings weakness when forming a position.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical trend with price near recent support
- Earnings disappointment driving recent price weakness
- High leverage limiting short‑term upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF model indicates a meaningful upside potential
- Brand strength and global footprint support recovery
- Forward earnings multiple appears reasonable
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable brand equity in the luxury segment
- Elevated debt levels constrain long‑term flexibility
- Cyclical consumer exposure and modest growth prospects
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.90%
Profit Margin0.87%
P/E Ratio189.1
ROE2.14%
ROA3.07%
Debt/Equity160.99
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow£484.0M
Free Cash Flow£400.8M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI48.9
Support£1,076.00
Resistance£1,215.00
MA 20£1,143.15
MA 50£1,149.77
MA 200£1,174.57
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair Value£1,289.61
Target Price£1,299.19
Upside/Downside14.52%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.56
Volatility38.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.