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BNR:XETRBrenntag SE Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

$16.01

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Burning Rock Biotech is trading at roughly $16, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of $51.48, indicating a substantial undervaluation. The stock sits under the 20‑day SMA of $25.12 and the 50‑day SMA of $27.99, while still above the long‑term 200‑day SMA of $14.24, suggesting a short‑term downtrend but a potential longer‑term floor. Technicals are bearish: the MACD line is negative and crossing its signal, the histogram is declining, and the RSI sits at 27.8, flagging oversold conditions that could precede further weakness. Volatility is extreme at 144% over the past 30 days, and the price has slipped from a recent high of $22.85 toward the support level of $15.70, with resistance near $30.
Fundamentally, the company reports negative earnings, a –22.5% profit margin and a –12.3% operating margin, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 6.0, underscoring cash‑flow challenges. However, its gross margin remains strong at 73%, and the business benefits from strategic collaborations with major pharma players, positioning it in a high‑growth cancer‑diagnostics market. The balance sheet shows ample cash ($463.9 M) relative to debt ($33.2 M), but operating cash flow is negative. Given the mix of deep valuation discount, strong market potential, and significant risk factors, investors should weigh timing and risk tolerance carefully.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD crossover and negative histogram
  • RSI below 30 indicating continued downward pressure
  • Price breaking below the 20‑day SMA and approaching support at $15.70

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Ongoing cash‑flow deficits and high operating losses
  • Elevated volatility and uncertainty around regulatory approvals

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Large, expanding market for NGS‑based cancer diagnostics
  • Strategic partnerships with AstraZeneca, Bayer, Merck and others
  • Strong cash position relative to debt providing runway for R&D

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.30%
Profit Margin-22.48%
P/E Ratio-27.6
ROE-20.25%
ROA-6.23%
Debt/Equity6.04
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$-32420000
Free Cash Flow$8.2M
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI27.8
Support$15.70
Resistance$29.99
MA 20$25.12
MA 50$28.00
MA 200$14.24
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value$51.48
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.84
Volatility144.03%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.