BMW:XETRBayerische Motoren Werke AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
€67.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
BMW is trading well beneath its long‑term moving averages, with momentum indicators pointing to a deeply oversold condition and a bearish MACD histogram. The valuation metrics are exceptionally cheap – the price‑to‑earnings and price‑to‑book ratios are among the lowest in the auto sector, while the dividend yield is among the highest, suggesting a strong income appeal.
Fundamentally, the company faces a revenue contraction and modest profitability, yet its cash generation and payout ratio indicate that the dividend remains sustainable. The combination of a strong balance sheet, attractive yield, and a market price near the identified support level creates a potential upside if sentiment improves, though sector cyclicality and regulatory pressures remain headwinds.
Fundamentally, the company faces a revenue contraction and modest profitability, yet its cash generation and payout ratio indicate that the dividend remains sustainable. The combination of a strong balance sheet, attractive yield, and a market price near the identified support level creates a potential upside if sentiment improves, though sector cyclicality and regulatory pressures remain headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below the 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day moving averages
- RSI in deep oversold territory
- bearish MACD divergence
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- exceptionally low valuation multiples
- high and sustainable dividend yield
- improving cash flow relative to debt load
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- strong brand portfolio and global presence
- potential upside from EV transition and cost efficiencies
- long‑term dividend stability and shareholder return focus
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-8.10%
Profit Margin5.22%
P/E Ratio6.0
ROE7.09%
ROA2.05%
Debt/Equity112.68
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow€5.9B
Free Cash Flow€2.3B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI25.3
Support€65.50
Resistance€77.70
MA 20€72.39
MA 50€77.23
MA 200€84.04
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price€89.47
Upside/Downside33.54%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.57%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.15
Volatility29.91%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.