BMW3:XETRBayerische Motoren Werke AG Pref Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
€81.55
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
BMW’s stock is trading near its 20‑day moving average of €81.55, with the SMA‑20 sitting above the SMA‑50 and SMA‑200, signaling a bullish price structure. The RSI of 63.7 indicates momentum is still on the upside, though it is edging toward overbought territory. The MACD has turned bearish, with the histogram negative, suggesting a short‑term pull‑back may be on the horizon. Trading volume remains stable but thin, and the beta of just 0.11 points to very low market‑wide price sensitivity. The recent earnings call highlighted an earnings beat and the company’s decision to keep full‑year guidance despite a softer outlook in China, underscoring strong cost discipline and resilient order flow.
Fundamentally, the shares appear markedly cheap – a trailing P/E around 6.9 and a price‑to‑book of 0.52 are well below industry averages. The dividend yield of roughly 5.4% with a payout ratio near 36% suggests the payout is sustainable given solid operating cash flow. However, revenue is down 8% year‑over‑year and the debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeds 110%, flagging balance‑sheet leverage as a key risk. Margins are modest, with gross margin just above 13% and operating margin near 6.5%. Overall, the stock offers attractive valuation and income potential, but investors should watch debt reduction progress and any further weakness in the Chinese market.
Fundamentally, the shares appear markedly cheap – a trailing P/E around 6.9 and a price‑to‑book of 0.52 are well below industry averages. The dividend yield of roughly 5.4% with a payout ratio near 36% suggests the payout is sustainable given solid operating cash flow. However, revenue is down 8% year‑over‑year and the debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeds 110%, flagging balance‑sheet leverage as a key risk. Margins are modest, with gross margin just above 13% and operating margin near 6.5%. Overall, the stock offers attractive valuation and income potential, but investors should watch debt reduction progress and any further weakness in the Chinese market.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Earnings beat and maintained guidance
- High dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Technical signs of near‑term pull‑back (bearish MACD)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong valuation multiples (low P/E, low P/B)
- Robust cash flow supporting debt service
- Continued dividend attractiveness
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Brand strength and premium positioning
- Potential upside from EV and mobility initiatives
- Long‑term dividend income stream
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-8.10%
Profit Margin5.22%
P/E Ratio6.9
ROE7.09%
ROA2.05%
Debt/Equity112.68
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow€5.9B
Free Cash Flow€2.3B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.7
Support€81.55
Resistance€81.55
MA 20€81.55
MA 50€80.87
MA 200€77.92
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.42%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.11
0Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.