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BMW3:XETRBayerische Motoren Werke AG Pref Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

€81.55

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

BMW’s stock is trading near its 20‑day moving average of €81.55, with the SMA‑20 sitting above the SMA‑50 and SMA‑200, signaling a bullish price structure. The RSI of 63.7 indicates momentum is still on the upside, though it is edging toward overbought territory. The MACD has turned bearish, with the histogram negative, suggesting a short‑term pull‑back may be on the horizon. Trading volume remains stable but thin, and the beta of just 0.11 points to very low market‑wide price sensitivity. The recent earnings call highlighted an earnings beat and the company’s decision to keep full‑year guidance despite a softer outlook in China, underscoring strong cost discipline and resilient order flow.
Fundamentally, the shares appear markedly cheap – a trailing P/E around 6.9 and a price‑to‑book of 0.52 are well below industry averages. The dividend yield of roughly 5.4% with a payout ratio near 36% suggests the payout is sustainable given solid operating cash flow. However, revenue is down 8% year‑over‑year and the debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeds 110%, flagging balance‑sheet leverage as a key risk. Margins are modest, with gross margin just above 13% and operating margin near 6.5%. Overall, the stock offers attractive valuation and income potential, but investors should watch debt reduction progress and any further weakness in the Chinese market.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Earnings beat and maintained guidance
  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Technical signs of near‑term pull‑back (bearish MACD)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong valuation multiples (low P/E, low P/B)
  • Robust cash flow supporting debt service
  • Continued dividend attractiveness

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Brand strength and premium positioning
  • Potential upside from EV and mobility initiatives
  • Long‑term dividend income stream

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-8.10%
Profit Margin5.22%
P/E Ratio6.9
ROE7.09%
ROA2.05%
Debt/Equity112.68
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow€5.9B
Free Cash Flow€2.3B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.7
Support€81.55
Resistance€81.55
MA 20€81.55
MA 50€80.87
MA 200€77.92
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.42%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
0
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.