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BMRI:IDXPT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-31 - not real-time

IDR 4,080.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. However, the relative strength index sits in oversold territory, suggesting potential upside momentum. The MACD histogram has turned positive, indicating a nascent bullish signal. Recent corporate actions, including a generous dividend payout and insider share purchases, reinforce confidence in earnings quality. The company’s price‑to‑earnings multiple is well below the industry average, highlighting a valuation discount. Strong return on equity and robust operating margins further underpin the attractiveness of the equity.
Volatility remains elevated, but the beta is near zero, limiting market‑wide correlation risk. Regulatory and geographic exposures are moderate, reflecting the bank’s domestic focus and banking sector oversight. The high dividend yield, backed by solid profitability, appears sustainable under current earnings trends. Given the confluence of a valuation gap, dividend appeal, and improving technical signals, the stock presents a compelling case for investors. Nonetheless, the bearish price trend and recent support level warrant caution in the near term. A disciplined approach that leans toward buying on dips while monitoring technical thresholds is advisable.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI suggesting a near‑term rebound
  • Price positioned just above a key support level
  • Recent dividend payout confirming cash flow strength

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation discount relative to industry peers
  • Strong return on equity and operating margins
  • Sustained high dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Stable earnings generation over multiple periods
  • Robust capital position and low leverage
  • Supportive regulatory environment for Indonesian banks

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.50%
Profit Margin40.24%
P/E Ratio6.8
ROE21.04%
ROA2.57%
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowIDR-255023564980224
Industry P/E16.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.0
SupportIDR 4,040.00
ResistanceIDR 4,710.00
MA 20IDR 4,262.50
MA 50IDR 4,497.00
MA 200IDR 4,701.43
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.07

Valuation

Target PriceIDR 5,698.87
Upside/Downside39.68%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield11.69%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.14
Volatility33.51%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.