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BLK:NYSEBlackRock, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-13 - not real-time

$1,026.99

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

BlackRock (BLK) is trading at $1,027, which sits above its 20‑day SMA but remains below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, indicating short‑term momentum in a longer‑term bearish backdrop. The RSI of 53 points to a neutral stance, while the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting a potential near‑term bullish reversal. Fundamentally, the firm delivers strong top‑line growth of 27% YoY, robust operating margins near 36%, and a healthy free cash flow generation that comfortably supports its 2.25% dividend and a payout ratio just above 50%. However, the current trailing P/E of roughly 26 is well above the asset‑management industry average of 18, though the forward P/E of 16.6 aligns more closely with peers, and a discounted cash‑flow model implies a 22% upside to fair value. Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a mean target around $1,260, driven by expected ETF demand, expanding crypto exposure, and a strategic focus on energy‑security risk management.
With a beta above 1.2 and 30‑day volatility near 28%, the stock exhibits higher market sensitivity and a recent decline in trading volume, flagging moderate liquidity concerns. Nonetheless, the company’s diversified global footprint, solid balance sheet (net cash position), and sustainable dividend profile make it an attractive blend of growth and value for investors willing to tolerate short‑term price swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Upcoming Q2 earnings could trigger volatility
  • Decreasing recent volume and bearish longer‑term trend
  • Proximity to support level provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF upside of ~22% and analyst price targets around $1,260
  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Sustained dividend yield with solid cash‑flow coverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified global asset base and expanding ETF/crypto platforms
  • Stable dividend policy and attractive payout ratio
  • Long‑term cash‑flow generation that supports shareholder returns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth27.00%
Profit Margin24.40%
P/E Ratio25.9
ROE11.90%
ROA3.62%
Debt/Equity23.64
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow$4.1B
Free Cash Flow$7.1B
Industry P/E17.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI53.6
Support$947.21
Resistance$1,076.51
MA 20$1,010.12
MA 50$1,034.90
MA 200$1,060.55
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.43

Valuation

Fair Value$1,545.22
Target Price$1,259.06
Upside/Downside22.60%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.25%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.23
Volatility28.29%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.