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BKNG:NASDAQBooking Holdings Inc. Common Stock Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

$161.06

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Trading below its short‑term moving averages, Booking Holdings is under the twenty‑day and fifty‑day SMA, signaling bearish momentum. The RSI sits in the mid‑forties, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing a downtrend. Volatility over the past month is elevated, and the beta near one suggests the stock moves in line with the market. The price is hovering just above a key support zone, limiting immediate downside risk. Overall, technical indicators point to a cautious short‑term outlook.
Double‑digit revenue growth and industry‑leading margins underpin a strong fundamental backdrop. Cash generation is robust, supporting a modest dividend with a payout ratio well below earnings, which appears sustainable. A discounted cash‑flow model values the firm substantially higher than the current market price, implying a substantial upside potential. Analyst consensus remains bullish, with a “buy” recommendation from the majority of contributors. However, the latest outlook was trimmed due to geopolitical tensions, heightened EU regulatory scrutiny, and rising AI‑driven competition, creating near‑term headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages indicating bearish momentum
  • Recent outlook cut due to geopolitical and regulatory concerns
  • Proximity to key support level limiting downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation upside relative to discounted cash‑flow estimate
  • Strong cash flow and sustainable dividend supporting total return
  • Analyst consensus remains bullish with a majority “buy” rating

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term travel demand and resilient business model
  • High operating margins and continued revenue growth trajectory
  • Undervalued relative to intrinsic value with sustainable dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.20%
Profit Margin22.23%
P/E Ratio21.2
ROA22.26%
P/B Ratio-14.4
Op. Cash Flow$9.3B
Free Cash Flow$7.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.4
Support$150.14
Resistance$181.47
MA 20$163.55
MA 50$170.94
MA 200$195.65
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$228.15
Target Price$224.41
Upside/Downside39.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.00%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.96
Volatility37.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.