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BKNG:NASDAQBooking Holdings Inc. Common Stock Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$4,440.69

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Booking Holdings trades at $4,440, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (4,220) but still under the 50‑day (4,786) and 200‑day (5,231) averages, confirming a short‑term bullish tilt within a broader bearish trend. The MACD histogram is positive (81) and the signal is flagged as bullish, while RSI sits near 50, indicating neutral momentum. Volatility is elevated at 55% over the past 30 days and beta is close to 1, suggesting the stock moves with the market but can swing sharply. Fundamentals remain robust: revenue grew 16% YoY to $26.9 B, operating margin sits at 32%, and free cash flow exceeds $6.5 B, supporting a modest 0.86% dividend with a 23% payout ratio. The forward PE of 14.2 and a DCF‑derived fair value of $5,402 imply roughly 31% upside, echoed by analyst median targets around $5,850 and a consensus “Buy.” Recent earnings beat and analyst commentary linking the stock to AI‑driven disruption have added optimism, though news of OpenAI pulling back on direct booking integration introduces short‑term uncertainty. Overall, the combination of solid cash generation, attractive valuation gaps, and a resilient market position makes BKNG a compelling buy for investors willing to navigate its cyclical travel exposure and heightened volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching resistance at $4,634
  • Technical mix of bullish MACD vs bearish longer‑term SMAs
  • Recent AI‑related news creating short‑term uncertainty

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation upside of ~30% to DCF and analyst targets
  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Forward PE compression to 14.2 indicating growth potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Durable market moat across multiple travel platforms
  • Consistent free cash flow supporting dividend and reinvestment
  • Strategic AI integration and continued global expansion

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.00%
Profit Margin20.08%
P/E Ratio26.8
ROA20.82%
P/B Ratio-25.4
Op. Cash Flow$9.4B
Free Cash Flow$6.6B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI50.3
Support$3,765.45
Resistance$4,634.09
MA 20$4,220.42
MA 50$4,786.37
MA 200$5,231.18
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair Value$5,402.34
Target Price$5,816.77
Upside/Downside30.99%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.86%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.98
Volatility55.39%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.