We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

BIIB:NASDAQBiogen Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

$193.76

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Biogen’s share price is trading above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, with a 200‑day SMA still well below current levels, indicating a prevailing bullish trend despite a bearish MACD crossover and a modestly neutral RSI in the mid‑50s. Volume has been rising and the 30‑day volatility remains high, suggesting the stock is prone to sharp moves. Fundamentals show a PE ratio comfortably below the industry average and a forward PE that signals significant earnings upside, while the DCF model places fair value below the market price, creating a mixed valuation picture. Recent material news adds both catalysts and headwinds: the completed acquisition of Apellis brings two marketed products that should bolster near‑term revenue, yet a Phase 2 trial miss for diranersen sparked a short‑term price dip. Analyst consensus remains positive with a “buy” rating and target prices well above the current level, supporting a longer‑run upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent Phase 2 trial miss creating short‑term downside pressure
  • Bearish MACD signal despite overall bullish price trend
  • Integration risk of the Apellis acquisition

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue boost from EMPAVELI and SYFOVRE post‑acquisition
  • Forward PE indicating earnings expansion
  • Analyst consensus and target price upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong, high‑margin product portfolio and pipeline diversification
  • Low beta and solid cash position offsetting debt levels
  • Strategic expansion into Greater China with felzartamab rights

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.90%
Profit Margin13.80%
P/E Ratio20.8
ROE7.70%
ROA5.90%
Debt/Equity35.18
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$2.6B
Free Cash Flow$1.9B
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.6
Support$179.15
Resistance$205.97
MA 20$191.31
MA 50$185.72
MA 200$169.22
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$167.92
Target Price$219.27
Upside/Downside13.17%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.45
Volatility36.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.