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BEN:ASXBendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-03 - not real-time

A$10.41

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank is trading at $10.41, which sits below its 20‑day ($10.45) and 50‑day ($10.47) simple moving averages and well under the 200‑day SMA ($11.05), signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The MACD line is negative (-0.009) and below its signal line, while RSI is neutral at 48, reinforcing limited short‑term momentum. Despite a forward P/E of 12.25 that is well under the industry average of 17.55 and a price‑to‑book of 0.89, the bank posted a trailing EPS of -$0.15 and negative operating cash flow, raising concerns about earnings durability. The dividend yield remains attractive at 5.81%, but with a payout ratio near 80% and negative profit margins, the sustainability of that payout is questionable. Volatility is elevated at 19% over the past 30 days, though beta is low (0.38), indicating modest market‑wide risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages and support level
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing trading volume
  • Negative trailing earnings and cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E of 12.25 vs industry 17.55 suggests valuation upside
  • High dividend yield offset by sustainability concerns
  • Low beta and moderate sector risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued price‑to‑book and forward earnings metrics
  • Potential earnings recovery reflected in forward EPS
  • Strong cash reserves relative to debt providing financial flexibility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin-4.35%
P/E Ratio12.2
ROE-1.21%
ROA-0.08%
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowA$-2612900096
Industry P/E17.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.4
SupportA$9.95
ResistanceA$10.79
MA 20A$10.45
MA 50A$10.47
MA 200A$11.05
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.95

Valuation

Target PriceA$10.63
Upside/Downside2.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.81%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.39
Volatility19.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.