BELA:ATHEXJumbo S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
€22.62
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Jumbo S.A. (BELA) trades at €22.62, roughly 36% below its DCF‑derived fair value of €28.58, indicating a clear undervalued position. The company boasts a low trailing P/E of 9.5, a forward P/E of 8.2, and a solid dividend yield of 2.25% with a modest payout ratio of 21%, underscoring sustainable cash generation. Fundamental metrics are robust: revenue growth of 6.7%, gross margin of 54%, operating margin of 35%, and ROE of 21%, while the balance sheet shows ample cash (€536 m) versus modest debt (€66 m).
On the technical side, the stock sits just above its support at €21.40 and below resistance at €23.74, with the 20‑day SMA (22.58) providing a slight cushion. RSI is neutral at 48.6 and the MACD histogram is positive, signaling a tentative bullish shift despite an overall bearish trend. Volatility remains high at 26% over the past month, but the low beta of 0.42 suggests limited market‑wide risk, and the current market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (89.86).
On the technical side, the stock sits just above its support at €21.40 and below resistance at €23.74, with the 20‑day SMA (22.58) providing a slight cushion. RSI is neutral at 48.6 and the MACD histogram is positive, signaling a tentative bullish shift despite an overall bearish trend. Volatility remains high at 26% over the past month, but the low beta of 0.42 suggests limited market‑wide risk, and the current market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (89.86).
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF upside of ~36% suggests price appreciation potential
- Price near technical support with bullish MACD histogram
- Low beta mitigates market volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong operating margins and ROE indicate durable profitability
- Sustainable dividend yield of 2.25% with low payout ratio
- Continued revenue growth and cash generation support earnings expansion
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
- Robust balance sheet with high cash and low net debt
- Stable dividend policy and favorable long‑term industry outlook
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin25.98%
P/E Ratio9.5
ROE21.46%
ROA13.70%
Debt/Equity4.22
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow€296.9M
Free Cash Flow€191.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI48.6
Support€21.40
Resistance€23.74
MA 20€22.58
MA 50€22.84
MA 200€26.28
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value€28.58
Target Price€30.84
Upside/Downside36.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.25%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.42
Volatility26.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.