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BDO:PSEBDO Unibank, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

$4.96

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading above its recent support level, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, confirming a bullish structural trend. RSI is hovering near the midpoint, indicating a neutral stance, while the MACD histogram remains in negative territory, hinting at short‑term bearish pressure and a decreasing volume trend that could limit upside.
Valuation appears attractive: the price‑to‑earnings multiple is well below the industry average and the price‑to‑book ratio is under one, while the dividend yield, though modest, is backed by a low payout ratio, suggesting sustainability. A discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value substantially higher than the current market price, implying potential upside despite a modest upside‑downside metric. These dynamics, combined with moderate volatility and low beta, position the stock as a value‑oriented play with limited short‑term momentum.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price is just above recent support level
  • bearish MACD histogram signals short‑term weakness
  • declining volume suggests reduced buying pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation multiples are notably below industry peers
  • dividend yield is sustainable with a low payout ratio
  • stable earnings margins and a respectable return on equity

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • dominant market position in Brazil's banking sector
  • high debt load warrants balance‑sheet caution
  • moderate macro‑economic and regulatory exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-8.00%
Profit Margin15.54%
P/E Ratio10.8
ROE8.75%
ROA0.69%
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$135.0B
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.4
Support$4.56
Resistance$5.47
MA 20$5.02
MA 50$4.64
MA 200$4.15
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

Fair Value$47.72
Target Price$4.35
Upside/Downside-12.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.05%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility43.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.