BDO:PSEBDO Unibank, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
$4.96
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading above its recent support level, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, confirming a bullish structural trend. RSI is hovering near the midpoint, indicating a neutral stance, while the MACD histogram remains in negative territory, hinting at short‑term bearish pressure and a decreasing volume trend that could limit upside.
Valuation appears attractive: the price‑to‑earnings multiple is well below the industry average and the price‑to‑book ratio is under one, while the dividend yield, though modest, is backed by a low payout ratio, suggesting sustainability. A discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value substantially higher than the current market price, implying potential upside despite a modest upside‑downside metric. These dynamics, combined with moderate volatility and low beta, position the stock as a value‑oriented play with limited short‑term momentum.
Valuation appears attractive: the price‑to‑earnings multiple is well below the industry average and the price‑to‑book ratio is under one, while the dividend yield, though modest, is backed by a low payout ratio, suggesting sustainability. A discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value substantially higher than the current market price, implying potential upside despite a modest upside‑downside metric. These dynamics, combined with moderate volatility and low beta, position the stock as a value‑oriented play with limited short‑term momentum.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price is just above recent support level
- bearish MACD histogram signals short‑term weakness
- declining volume suggests reduced buying pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- valuation multiples are notably below industry peers
- dividend yield is sustainable with a low payout ratio
- stable earnings margins and a respectable return on equity
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- dominant market position in Brazil's banking sector
- high debt load warrants balance‑sheet caution
- moderate macro‑economic and regulatory exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-8.00%
Profit Margin15.54%
P/E Ratio10.8
ROE8.75%
ROA0.69%
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$135.0B
Industry P/E17.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.4
Support$4.56
Resistance$5.47
MA 20$5.02
MA 50$4.64
MA 200$4.15
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
Fair Value$47.72
Target Price$4.35
Upside/Downside-12.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.05%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.47
Volatility43.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.