BCI:BCSBanco de Credito e Inversiones Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$22.94
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Price action shows BCI trading at $22.94, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of 24.05 and 50‑day SMA of 24.50, yet just above the 200‑day SMA of 22.65, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 26 flags oversold conditions, while the bearish MACD (negative line, signal and histogram) warns that momentum remains negative. Current support sits at $22.69 with resistance near $25.46, and the fund offers a striking 13.21% dividend yield amid an Extreme Greed market sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 91.46).
The ETF’s beta is essentially neutral (‑0.095) and 30‑day volatility sits at ~15.7%, suggesting modest price swings, and volume has been stable around 1.5 M shares. However, the absence of earnings or cash‑flow data makes the sustainability of the high yield uncertain, and a max drawdown of 16.3% highlights downside risk. Overall, BCI appears oversold with attractive income but carries moderate risk due to its commodity exposure and dividend sustainability concerns.
The ETF’s beta is essentially neutral (‑0.095) and 30‑day volatility sits at ~15.7%, suggesting modest price swings, and volume has been stable around 1.5 M shares. However, the absence of earnings or cash‑flow data makes the sustainability of the high yield uncertain, and a max drawdown of 16.3% highlights downside risk. Overall, BCI appears oversold with attractive income but carries moderate risk due to its commodity exposure and dividend sustainability concerns.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI suggesting near‑term rebound
- Price near strong support level
- High dividend yield offering immediate income
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Neutral trend with bearish MACD momentum
- Range bound between support and resistance
- Stable trading volume supporting liquidity
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Broad commodity exposure aligns with long‑term demand fundamentals
- Uncertainty around dividend sustainability
- Moderate volatility and low beta limiting systematic risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI26.2
Support$22.69
Resistance$25.46
MA 20$24.05
MA 50$24.50
MA 200$22.65
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield13.21%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.10
Volatility15.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.