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BCI:BCSBanco de Credito e Inversiones Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$22.94

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Price action shows BCI trading at $22.94, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of 24.05 and 50‑day SMA of 24.50, yet just above the 200‑day SMA of 22.65, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 26 flags oversold conditions, while the bearish MACD (negative line, signal and histogram) warns that momentum remains negative. Current support sits at $22.69 with resistance near $25.46, and the fund offers a striking 13.21% dividend yield amid an Extreme Greed market sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 91.46).
The ETF’s beta is essentially neutral (‑0.095) and 30‑day volatility sits at ~15.7%, suggesting modest price swings, and volume has been stable around 1.5 M shares. However, the absence of earnings or cash‑flow data makes the sustainability of the high yield uncertain, and a max drawdown of 16.3% highlights downside risk. Overall, BCI appears oversold with attractive income but carries moderate risk due to its commodity exposure and dividend sustainability concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI suggesting near‑term rebound
  • Price near strong support level
  • High dividend yield offering immediate income

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Neutral trend with bearish MACD momentum
  • Range bound between support and resistance
  • Stable trading volume supporting liquidity

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Broad commodity exposure aligns with long‑term demand fundamentals
  • Uncertainty around dividend sustainability
  • Moderate volatility and low beta limiting systematic risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI26.2
Support$22.69
Resistance$25.46
MA 20$24.05
MA 50$24.50
MA 200$22.65
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield13.21%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.10
Volatility15.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.