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BC8:XETRBechtle AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

€30.66

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Bechtle AG trades around €30.66, sitting below its 20‑day SMA of €31.60 and well under the 200‑day SMA of €36.02, indicating a short‑term price weakness. Technical signals are mixed: the RSI at 45 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, and volume is on a decreasing trend, all pointing to limited upside in the near term.
Fundamentally, the stock appears attractively priced with a trailing P/E of 16.4 versus an industry average of 36.8, a solid dividend yield of 2.28% supported by a modest 37% payout ratio, and steady revenue growth of 7.6% YoY. Analysts project a median target of €40, implying roughly 27% upside, and the DCF model values the company at €27.6, underscoring a potential valuation gap. Low beta (0.24) and a diversified European footprint temper market risk, though a 30‑day volatility of 36% signals price swings. Overall, the company balances modest growth with value characteristics, making it a compelling medium‑ to long‑term buy despite short‑term technical headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst median target €40 (~27% upside)
  • Low P/E relative to industry peers
  • Sustainable dividend yield of 2.28%

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue growth of 7.6% YoY
  • Strong cash generation and low debt‑to‑equity
  • Diversified European IT services exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.60%
Profit Margin3.61%
P/E Ratio16.4
ROE11.57%
ROA4.92%
Debt/Equity30.22
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow€321.5M
Free Cash Flow€204.6M
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.5
Support€29.20
Resistance€34.70
MA 20€31.60
MA 50€30.64
MA 200€36.02
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value€27.63
Target Price€39.00
Upside/Downside27.20%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.28%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.24
Volatility36.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.