BBDC4:BMFBOVESPABanco Bradesco SA Pfd Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-27 - not real-time
R$17.92
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Banco Bradesco (BBDC4) is trading at R$17.92, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 17.58 but below the 50‑day (18.35) and 200‑day (18.82) averages, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI sits at 52, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive (0.086) and the signal line is bullish, hinting at a potential technical bounce. Price sits near the identified support of R$17.16 and below resistance at R$18.27, with volume trending upward, which could provide the liquidity needed for a rebound. Fundamentally, the stock appears markedly undervalued with a trailing P/E of 8.53 versus an industry average of 16.9, a price‑to‑book of 1.05, and an upside potential of roughly 27% based on analyst targets. Dividend yield is modest at 1.27% with a payout ratio of 72%, but operating cash flow is negative, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The broader market sentiment is in an “Extreme Greed” phase (fear‑greed index 88.55), which may further propel the stock toward its upside if earnings expectations hold.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below longer‑term SMAs indicating bearish trend
- Positive MACD histogram suggesting possible short‑term bounce
- Increasing volume supporting liquidity at current levels
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued multiples (P/E 8.5 vs industry 16.9)
- Upside potential of ~27% from analyst targets
- Attractive dividend yield relative to peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong market position and brand in Brazilian banking
- Revenue growth of 10.5% despite current cash flow challenges
- Long‑term valuation cushion with low price‑to‑book
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin25.36%
P/E Ratio8.5
ROE13.37%
ROA1.05%
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowR$-219240628224
Industry P/E16.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI52.3
SupportR$17.16
ResistanceR$18.27
MA 20R$17.58
MA 50R$18.35
MA 200R$18.82
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55
Valuation
Target PriceR$22.83
Upside/Downside27.42%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.27%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.00
Volatility20.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.