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BBDC4:BMFBOVESPABanco Bradesco SA Pfd Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

R$17.62

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Banco Bradesco is trading at R$17.62, just above the calculated support level of R$17.26 and well below the 52‑week high of R$22.12, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. The 20‑day SMA (R$18.49) sits above the current price while the 50‑day SMA (R$19.15) remains higher, indicating a short‑term down‑trend, and the MACD histogram is negative, reinforcing a bearish bias. However, the RSI of 35 points to a mildly oversold condition, which could set the stage for a technical rebound if buying pressure materialises.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued with a trailing P/E of 8.4 versus an industry average of 16.8 and a price‑to‑book of 1.04, close to parity with book value. Revenue growth of 10.5% and a ROE of 13% support a growth narrative, while the dividend yield of 1.29% and a payout ratio near 72% provide modest income, though the negative operating cash flow raises questions about long‑term sustainability. Overall, the blend of valuation attractiveness, modest earnings growth, and a relatively low beta (≈0.33) suggests a cautious but potentially rewarding investment outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support
  • Bearish MACD signal
  • RSI indicating oversold condition

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to industry peers
  • Revenue growth above 10% YoY
  • Attractive dividend yield despite cash‑flow concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong market position in Brazil's banking sector
  • Consistent earnings generation and ROE
  • Potential for dividend growth as cash conversion improves

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin25.36%
P/E Ratio8.4
ROE13.37%
ROA1.05%
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowR$-219240628224
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI35.1
SupportR$17.26
ResistanceR$20.14
MA 20R$18.49
MA 50R$19.15
MA 200R$18.65
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Target PriceR$22.69
Upside/Downside28.79%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.29%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.87
Volatility24.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.