BBDC4:BMFBOVESPABanco Bradesco SA Pfd Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
R$17.62
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Banco Bradesco is trading at R$17.62, just above the calculated support level of R$17.26 and well below the 52‑week high of R$22.12, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. The 20‑day SMA (R$18.49) sits above the current price while the 50‑day SMA (R$19.15) remains higher, indicating a short‑term down‑trend, and the MACD histogram is negative, reinforcing a bearish bias. However, the RSI of 35 points to a mildly oversold condition, which could set the stage for a technical rebound if buying pressure materialises.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued with a trailing P/E of 8.4 versus an industry average of 16.8 and a price‑to‑book of 1.04, close to parity with book value. Revenue growth of 10.5% and a ROE of 13% support a growth narrative, while the dividend yield of 1.29% and a payout ratio near 72% provide modest income, though the negative operating cash flow raises questions about long‑term sustainability. Overall, the blend of valuation attractiveness, modest earnings growth, and a relatively low beta (≈0.33) suggests a cautious but potentially rewarding investment outlook.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued with a trailing P/E of 8.4 versus an industry average of 16.8 and a price‑to‑book of 1.04, close to parity with book value. Revenue growth of 10.5% and a ROE of 13% support a growth narrative, while the dividend yield of 1.29% and a payout ratio near 72% provide modest income, though the negative operating cash flow raises questions about long‑term sustainability. Overall, the blend of valuation attractiveness, modest earnings growth, and a relatively low beta (≈0.33) suggests a cautious but potentially rewarding investment outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support
- Bearish MACD signal
- RSI indicating oversold condition
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap to industry peers
- Revenue growth above 10% YoY
- Attractive dividend yield despite cash‑flow concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong market position in Brazil's banking sector
- Consistent earnings generation and ROE
- Potential for dividend growth as cash conversion improves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin25.36%
P/E Ratio8.4
ROE13.37%
ROA1.05%
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowR$-219240628224
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.1
SupportR$17.26
ResistanceR$20.14
MA 20R$18.49
MA 50R$19.15
MA 200R$18.65
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Target PriceR$22.69
Upside/Downside28.79%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.87
Volatility24.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.