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BBCA:IDXPT Bank Central Asia Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$101.57

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $101.57, comfortably above its 20‑day ($100.82), 50‑day ($99.78) and 200‑day ($93.55) simple moving averages, indicating a strong bullish backdrop. Technical momentum is reinforced by a bullish MACD crossover (line 0.56 above signal 0.50) and a modest RSI of 56, while the price sits near the immediate resistance of $102.63 with support at $98.67. Volatility over the past 30 days is 13.2% and beta is 0.77, suggesting the fund is less volatile than the broader market yet still exhibits respectable upside potential. The fund’s trailing P/E of 19.6 aligns with market averages and its 1.73% dividend yield offers modest income, supported by an “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 90.8) that could fuel short‑term price lifts.
Given its diversified Canadian equity exposure, stable trading volume and a modest max drawdown of 8.4%, the ETF presents a balanced risk‑reward profile for investors seeking both growth and income, with the dividend appearing sustainable under current yield levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major SMAs
  • Bullish MACD signal
  • Support level at $98.67

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable volume and liquidity
  • Moderate volatility (13.2%)
  • Potential pull‑back near resistance

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified Canadian equity exposure
  • Sustainable dividend yield of 1.73%
  • Lower beta (0.77) indicating reduced market risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio19.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.4
Support$98.67
Resistance$102.63
MA 20$100.82
MA 50$99.78
MA 200$93.55
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.8

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.73%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.77
Volatility13.20%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.