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BBCA:IDXPT Bank Central Asia Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

$100.54

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The fund is trading above its short‑term moving average while remaining above the longer‑term averages, supporting a bullish bias. Momentum indicators show the RSI in the upper‑mid range, suggesting continued buying pressure, yet the MACD has turned bearish, hinting at a possible short‑term pullback. Volume is on an upward trend, reinforcing the current direction, but 30‑day volatility is elevated, which could amplify price swings. The beta is below market, indicating lower systematic risk compared to the broader index.
Valuation and income: Valuation metrics appear reasonable for a diversified Canadian equity ETF, and the dividend yield is modest yet attractive for income‑focused investors. Market sentiment is extremely greedy, which may have already priced in much of the upside. Combined with a manageable drawdown history and solid liquidity, the fund presents a balanced risk‑return profile suitable for medium to long‑term holding.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish price relative to moving averages
  • Bearish MACD signal indicating potential short‑term correction
  • Increasing volume supporting current trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained bullish trend above key support levels
  • Reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield
  • Lower beta reducing market‑wide volatility exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified exposure to Canadian equities
  • Consistent income generation through dividends
  • Historical resilience with limited drawdowns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio19.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.6
Support$97.50
Resistance$100.97
MA 20$99.45
MA 50$97.38
MA 200$92.03
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.74%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.75
Volatility14.00%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.