BAYN:XETRBayer AG analysis
Data as of Oct 19, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- €44.46
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind Bayer Aktiengesellschaft is neutral at €44.46, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 9.0%. RSI sits at 40.3, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. The recent range runs from support at €42.56 up to resistance at €51.00.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 9.2 sits below the sector average of 31.5. Sell-side targets cluster 31.0% above the current quote. The 0.25% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 30.0%, a beta of 0.19 and a maximum drawdown of 30.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 86 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 9.2 sits below the sector average of 31.5. Sell-side targets cluster 31.0% above the current quote. The 0.25% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 30.0%, a beta of 0.19 and a maximum drawdown of 30.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 86 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 4/10 conviction on the long call.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 43.34
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of -9.0%
Medium term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 9.2 versus sector average of 31.5
- Dividend yield of 0.25% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading above the 200-day average of 43.34
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 9.2 versus sector average of 31.5
- Dividend yield of 0.25% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Negative profit margin of -3.8%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth1.20%
Profit Margin-3.83%
P/E Ratio9.2
ROE-5.69%
ROA3.18%
Debt/Equity129.36
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow€4.8B
Free Cash Flow€6.6B
Industry P/E31.5
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI40.3
Support€42.56
Resistance€51.00
MA 20€46.30
MA 50€47.76
MA 200€43.34
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index85.73
Valuation
Fair Value€51.29
Target Price€58.22
Upside/Downside30.95%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.25%
Risk assessment
Beta0.19
Volatility30.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.