BATS:LSEBritish American Tobacco p.l.c. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-15 - not real-time
£4,250.00
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
British American Tobacco p.l.c. trades at £4,250.00, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 10.2%. Relative strength is 42.4 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. The recent range runs from support at £4,002.00 up to resistance at £4,273.00.
Valuation screens as undervalued, on a P/E of 14.6 with no clean sector comparison available. Consensus targets land 21.1% above where the shares trade now. The 5.98% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 24.1%, a beta of 0.12 and a maximum drawdown of 18.8%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Valuation screens as undervalued, on a P/E of 14.6 with no clean sector comparison available. Consensus targets land 21.1% above where the shares trade now. The 5.98% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 24.1%, a beta of 0.12 and a maximum drawdown of 18.8%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
British American Tobacco LSE:BATS reported first-half 2026 results that were broadly in line with expectations, with...Yahoo Finance1monEarnings To Watch: British American Tobacco PLC LSE:BATS Q2 2026 -- GF Value Sees 38% DownsideThe...Yahoo Finance1monWhat Does British American Tobacco LSE:BATS New Tech Partnership Mean For Investors?
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 4394.81
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 4394.81
- Analyst targets imply +21.1% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +21.1% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 25.0% is healthy
- P/E ratio of 14.6
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.40%
Profit Margin24.99%
P/E Ratio14.6
ROE13.42%
ROA5.12%
Debt/Equity72.15
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow£7.4B
Free Cash Flow£3.5B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.4
Support£4,002.00
Resistance£4,273.00
MA 20£4,135.75
MA 50£4,348.32
MA 200£4,394.82
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.89
Valuation
Fair Value£635.46
Target Price£5,146.15
Upside/Downside21.09%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.98%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.12
Volatility24.09%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.