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BATA:PSXBata Pakistan Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$9.53

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is trading at $9.53, just below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages (≈9.55‑9.58), signaling a short‑term bearish bias. Technical indicators reinforce this view: the RSI sits at 36, the MACD histogram is negative and the trend direction is marked bearish, with price hugging the identified support at $9.53 and facing resistance near $9.56. Volatility is modest at just over 1% on a 30‑day basis and beta is virtually zero, indicating the share moves independently of broader market swings. Despite the weak price momentum, the fund offers an attractive dividend yield of 5.7%, though the lack of earnings and payout data raises questions about long‑term sustainability. The market sentiment index is in “Extreme Greed” territory, suggesting investors may be pricing in the high yield despite the technical weakness. Overall, the blend of a high income component with a bearish technical backdrop and limited fundamental transparency points to a cautious stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages
  • RSI indicating mild oversold conditions
  • High dividend yield offset by sustainability concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent bearish MACD and trend direction
  • Lack of earnings and cash flow data
  • Potential liquidity constraints

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Stable, low‑beta price behavior
  • Attractive income generation if dividend persists
  • Exposure to mortgage‑related securities with uncertain regulatory outlook

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI36.0
Support$9.53
Resistance$9.56
MA 20$9.55
MA 50$9.55
MA 200$9.58
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.8

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.01
Volatility1.15%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.