AXIA3:BMFBOVESPAAXIA Energia SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-27 - not real-time
R$53.41
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At BRL 53.41, AXIA Energia SA shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 5.9%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 59.0 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Watch BRL 48.64 as support and BRL 55.09 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 10.2 times earnings below a sector average of 19.8. Consensus targets land 31.2% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 9.7% on a 27.1% profit margin. The 6.83% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 26.9%, a beta of 0.58 and a maximum drawdown of 27.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 6/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 10.2 times earnings below a sector average of 19.8. Consensus targets land 31.2% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 9.7% on a 27.1% profit margin. The 6.83% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 26.9%, a beta of 0.58 and a maximum drawdown of 27.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 6/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
Seeking Alpha20dAXIA Energia SA AXIA Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptGood morning, ladies and gentlemen.Detailed price information for Axia Energia ADR AXIA-N from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 56.50
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 10.2 versus sector average of 19.8
- Trading below the 200-day average of 56.50
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 10.2 versus sector average of 19.8
- Analyst targets imply +31.2% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 27.1% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.70%
Profit Margin27.05%
P/E Ratio10.2
ROE10.01%
ROA3.03%
Debt/Equity62.52
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash FlowR$16.7B
Free Cash FlowR$1.3B
Industry P/E19.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI59.0
SupportR$48.64
ResistanceR$55.09
MA 20R$51.86
MA 50R$52.28
MA 200R$56.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.68
Valuation
Target PriceR$70.08
Upside/Downside31.20%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.83%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.58
Volatility26.92%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.