AVY:NYSEAvery Dennison Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
$160.01
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Avery Dennison posted a solid top‑line beat with year‑over‑year revenue growth and a non‑GAAP EPS that edged above consensus, underscoring resilient demand for its labeling and packaging solutions. Fundamentally, the company trades at a moderate PE multiple, delivers a healthy dividend yield, and generates robust operating and free cash flow, supporting a sustainable payout ratio. Technically, the stock sits below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, the MACD histogram is modestly positive but the broader trend remains bearish, and volume is tapering, suggesting limited short‑term upside. The DCF model values the shares well below the current market price, indicating that the market may be pricing in a risk premium. Together with an attractive dividend and a diversified global footprint, the stock presents a mixed case: overvalued on price but underpinned by solid fundamentals and defensive cash generation.
Investors should weigh the near‑term technical weakness and valuation gap against the company's consistent earnings growth, dividend sustainability, and low‑beta defensive profile. The current environment of extreme market greed adds speculative pressure, but the underlying business fundamentals remain robust, making a nuanced, time‑horizon‑specific approach advisable.
Investors should weigh the near‑term technical weakness and valuation gap against the company's consistent earnings growth, dividend sustainability, and low‑beta defensive profile. The current environment of extreme market greed adds speculative pressure, but the underlying business fundamentals remain robust, making a nuanced, time‑horizon‑specific approach advisable.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical positioning below key moving averages
- Decreasing volume indicating limited near‑term buying pressure
- Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth and solid cash generation
- Stable dividend yield with comfortable payout ratio
- Low beta and defensive sector exposure
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong competitive moat in labeling and RFID solutions
- Consistent profitability and high return on equity
- Dividend sustainability and attractive cash flow profile
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.00%
Profit Margin7.66%
P/E Ratio18.0
ROE30.86%
ROA8.27%
Debt/Equity164.75
P/B Ratio5.3
Op. Cash Flow$1.0B
Free Cash Flow$809.0M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.0
Support$152.68
Resistance$169.13
MA 20$160.48
MA 50$165.29
MA 200$173.88
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.84
Valuation
Fair Value$141.75
Target Price$200.30
Upside/Downside25.18%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.49%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.62
Volatility22.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.