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AUTO:LSEAutotrader Group PLC Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

£486.20

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Autotrader Group plc trades around £486 per share, well below its DCF-derived fair value of roughly £521 and the consensus analyst targets near £730, implying a near‑term upside of about 48%. The stock’s price‑to‑earnings multiple of 14.7 is comfortably under the industry average of 18.2, while the dividend yield of 2.23% is supported by a payout ratio under 32% and robust operating cash flow. Fundamentally, the company delivers exceptional profitability – gross margins near 79% and a return on equity above 50% – and maintains a strong cash position relative to its modest debt load. Technically, the MACD histogram has turned positive and the signal line is bullish, even as the broader trend remains bearish, with the price sitting between the 20‑day SMA (~£476) and the 50‑day SMA (~£519). Volume is on an upward trajectory, and volatility is elevated at over 30% on a 30‑day basis, reflecting a market that is both attentive and nervous. Recent commentary highlighting a 38% perceived undervaluation reinforces the quantitative case for a re‑rating.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram indicating a potential near‑term reversal
  • Current price near the identified support level with increasing volume
  • Substantial upside to DCF fair value and analyst price targets

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong operating margins and ROE supporting earnings growth
  • Undervalued valuation multiples relative to peers
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term upside to consensus analyst targets (~£730)
  • Consistent cash generation and low leverage
  • Resilient business model in the digital automotive marketplace

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.00%
Profit Margin47.69%
P/E Ratio14.7
ROE51.58%
ROA35.67%
Debt/Equity10.48
P/B Ratio748.0
Op. Cash Flow£318.9M
Free Cash Flow£253.6M
Industry P/E18.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.0
Support£454.54
Resistance£494.80
MA 20£475.77
MA 50£518.88
MA 200£702.11
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

Fair Value£520.75
Target Price£720.94
Upside/Downside48.28%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.23%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility32.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.