ATO:NYSEAtmos Energy Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-25 - not real-time
$167.92
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
At $167.91, Atmos Energy Corporation shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has lost 5.9% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 37.9, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $166.03 and resistance around $181.37.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 20.0 versus a 19.7 sector average, in line with the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 12.1% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 4.8% on a 28.5% profit margin. The 2.38% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 15.3%, a beta of -0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 13.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 2/10 long-term conviction.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 20.0 versus a 19.7 sector average, in line with the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 12.1% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 4.8% on a 28.5% profit margin. The 2.38% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 15.3%, a beta of -0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 13.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 2/10 long-term conviction.
Top Market Events
Atmos Energy ATO reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings of $1.DALLAS, August 10, 2026--Atmos Energy Corporation NYSE: ATO announced today that John S.Yahoo Finance19dAtmos Energy Corporation Reports Earnings for Fiscal 2026 Third Quarter; Reaffirms Fiscal 2026...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 175.94
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 20.0 versus sector average of 19.7
- Trading below the 200-day average of 175.94
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 20.0 versus sector average of 19.7
- Analyst targets imply +12.1% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 28.5% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.80%
Profit Margin28.50%
P/E Ratio20.0
ROE9.79%
ROA3.89%
Debt/Equity67.66
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow$2.0B
Free Cash Flow$-2220956928
Industry P/E19.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.9
Support$166.03
Resistance$181.37
MA 20$170.80
MA 50$173.36
MA 200$175.94
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.66
Valuation
Fair Value$72.57
Target Price$188.18
Upside/Downside12.07%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.38%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.16
Volatility15.34%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.