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ATO:NYSEAtmos Energy Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-25 - not real-time

$167.92

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

At $167.91, Atmos Energy Corporation shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has lost 5.9% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 37.9, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $166.03 and resistance around $181.37.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 20.0 versus a 19.7 sector average, in line with the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 12.1% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 4.8% on a 28.5% profit margin. The 2.38% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 15.3%, a beta of -0.16 and a maximum drawdown of 13.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 2/10 long-term conviction.

Top Market Events

Atmos Energy ATO reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings of $1.DALLAS, August 10, 2026--Atmos Energy Corporation NYSE: ATO announced today that John S.Yahoo Finance19dAtmos Energy Corporation Reports Earnings for Fiscal 2026 Third Quarter; Reaffirms Fiscal 2026...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 175.94
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 20.0 versus sector average of 19.7
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 175.94

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 20.0 versus sector average of 19.7
  • Analyst targets imply +12.1% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 28.5% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.80%
Profit Margin28.50%
P/E Ratio20.0
ROE9.79%
ROA3.89%
Debt/Equity67.66
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow$2.0B
Free Cash Flow$-2220956928
Industry P/E19.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.9
Support$166.03
Resistance$181.37
MA 20$170.80
MA 50$173.36
MA 200$175.94
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.66

Valuation

Fair Value$72.57
Target Price$188.18
Upside/Downside12.07%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.16
Volatility15.34%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.