ASTRA:CRYPTOCAPMarket Cap ASTRA, $ Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
$187.03
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AstraZeneca is trading at $187.03, just above its 20‑day SMA (185.0) but still below the 50‑day SMA (191.2), indicating a modest upward bias. The RSI sits at 48.5, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line turned bullish, offering a technical nudge to the upside despite a decreasing volume trend and a 30‑day volatility of about 21%. Recent earnings beat and upgraded guidance have lifted sentiment, reflected in the “Extreme Greed” market mood (FGI 91.6) and a strong analyst consensus (10 analysts, “strong_buy”).
Fundamentally, AZN posted 12.5% revenue growth, robust 81.5% gross margin and a 27.9% operating margin, with forward EPS projected at $8.02. The dividend yield of 1.69% is covered by a 48% payout ratio and solid free cash flow, supporting sustainability. However, the DCF fair‑value estimate of $75.9 places the current price well above intrinsic value, flagging an overvaluation despite a 20% upside potential relative to the current level. Low beta (≈0.22‑0.53) and a defensive healthcare sector temper risk, while global exposure and ongoing regulatory pipelines add moderate regulatory and geographic considerations.
Fundamentally, AZN posted 12.5% revenue growth, robust 81.5% gross margin and a 27.9% operating margin, with forward EPS projected at $8.02. The dividend yield of 1.69% is covered by a 48% payout ratio and solid free cash flow, supporting sustainability. However, the DCF fair‑value estimate of $75.9 places the current price well above intrinsic value, flagging an overvaluation despite a 20% upside potential relative to the current level. Low beta (≈0.22‑0.53) and a defensive healthcare sector temper risk, while global exposure and ongoing regulatory pipelines add moderate regulatory and geographic considerations.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical momentum (price near SMA20, below SMA50)
- Decreasing volume trend
- Proximity to resistance around $191.5
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong earnings growth and improving forward PE
- Robust pipeline and strategic collaborations
- Analyst consensus of strong buy with upside ~20%
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Durable franchise across oncology, cardiovascular and respiratory
- Sustainable dividend supported by cash flow
- Low beta and defensive healthcare exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.50%
Profit Margin17.19%
P/E Ratio28.2
ROE23.48%
ROA8.49%
Debt/Equity71.81
P/B Ratio6.1
Op. Cash Flow$14.2B
Free Cash Flow$6.6B
Industry P/E27.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.5
Support$180.00
Resistance$191.50
MA 20$185.00
MA 50$191.23
MA 200$180.24
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value$75.87
Target Price$224.49
Upside/Downside20.03%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.69%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility21.34%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.