ASELS:BISTASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-07 - not real-time
TRY 394.75
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At TRY 394.75, ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. The last 30 days have gained 9.5%. RSI sits at 55.9, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at TRY 346.75 and resistance at TRY 412.75.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as tight.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 42.1%, a beta of -0.43 and a maximum drawdown of 22.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as tight.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 42.1%, a beta of -0.43 and a maximum drawdown of 22.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 335.28
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 335.28
- 30-day volatility of 42.1%
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- 30-day volatility of 42.1%
- Maximum drawdown of 22.5%
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price394.75
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI55.9
SupportTRY 346.75
ResistanceTRY 412.75
MA 20TRY 391.18
MA 50TRY 373.52
MA 200TRY 335.28
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.59
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.43
Volatility42.10%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.