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ASELS:BISTASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

TRY 377.75

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ASELSAN is trading at 377.75, comfortably below its 20‑day (385.84) and 50‑day (391.82) simple moving averages, indicating short‑term pressure, while still above the long‑term 200‑day average (280.82). The RSI sits at 46.9, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, and the MACD line remains bearish, lagging its signal and generating a negative histogram. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the recent price move, and the 30‑day volatility is high at over 50%, reflecting a wide price swing range. The stock holds a support level near 355 and faces resistance around 421, framing a modest upside corridor. A negative computed beta (‑0.34) hints at a slight inverse relationship to the broader market, while the Fear‑Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” pointing to strong investor appetite. Despite a lofty trailing P/E of 53, the forward P/E of 18.7 signals expected earnings acceleration, and the modest 0.11% dividend yield underscores a growth‑oriented profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • increasing volume supporting current level
  • bearish MACD divergence

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • forward P/E compression indicating earnings upside
  • defense spending outlook and contract pipeline
  • extreme greed sentiment boosting demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • strategic position in Turkey's defense sector
  • stable long‑term government contracts
  • limited inventory constraints and high barriers to entry

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price377.75
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityHigh

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.9
SupportTRY 355.00
ResistanceTRY 421.00
MA 20TRY 385.84
MA 50TRY 391.82
MA 200TRY 280.82
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.34
Volatility51.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.