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APTV:NYSEAptiv PLC Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-14 - not real-time

$54.21

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Aptiv PLC is trading essentially at its discounted cash‑flow fair value, suggesting a **fair** valuation at the moment, while analyst consensus projects a sizable upside and labels the stock a strong buy. However, the price sits below both the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, RSI is in oversold territory and the MACD histogram remains negative, indicating a **bearish short‑term technical backdrop** and heightened volatility. The stock is hovering just above a well‑defined support level, and the recent price action has underperformed the broader market, reinforcing the need for caution in the near term.
Fundamentally, Aptiv delivers modest revenue growth, a low forward price‑to‑earnings multiple relative to its trailing figure, and solid operating cash flow, but it carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio and offers no dividend. The company’s exposure to the fast‑growing automotive safety and EV software segments provides a compelling long‑term narrative, while its global footprint spreads geographic risk. Balancing the bullish fundamentals with the bearish technical signals and elevated beta leads to a nuanced view: hold for now, but consider buying on a clearer technical recovery.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (price below SMAs, oversold RSI, negative MACD)
  • Proximity to support level with limited upside in the near term
  • High short‑term volatility and beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low forward PE implying attractive earnings upside
  • Strong analyst consensus and projected price target above current levels
  • Growing exposure to automotive safety and electric‑vehicle software markets

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for advanced vehicle electronics and safety systems
  • Diversified global operations reducing single‑region concentration
  • Solid cash generation despite high leverage, supporting long‑term investment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.40%
Profit Margin1.77%
P/E Ratio32.3
ROE4.08%
ROA5.70%
Debt/Equity103.82
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$1.8B
Free Cash Flow$1.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.0
Support$52.38
Resistance$62.43
MA 20$58.46
MA 50$63.60
MA 200$75.47
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.57

Valuation

Fair Value$54.19
Target Price$79.23
Upside/Downside46.15%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.32
Volatility49.85%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.