ANZ:ASXANZ Group Holdings Limited analysis
Data as of Oct 18, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- A$38.89
- Risk: low
- 3/10Low risk
Summary
ANZ Group Holdings Limited trades at AUD 38.89, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. It has gained 2.5% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 60.9 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bullish. Watch AUD 37.00 as support and AUD 39.32 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is overvalued — earnings multiple of 19.7 versus a 15.8 sector average, above the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 6.0% below the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 2.1% on a 27.4% profit margin. The 4.27% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 19.6%, a beta of 0.33 and a maximum drawdown of 17.3%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 86 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
On valuation the read is overvalued — earnings multiple of 19.7 versus a 15.8 sector average, above the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 6.0% below the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 2.1% on a 27.4% profit margin. The 4.27% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 19.6%, a beta of 0.33 and a maximum drawdown of 17.3%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 86 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Top market events
- March-quarter revenue hit AUD 31.56 billion and net profit AUD 3.65 billion. ANZ stock costs EUR 23.
- Quarterly revenue was AUD 31.56 billion and net profit AUD 3.65 billion. ANZ Group Holdings stock co
- Comparing Telstra and ANZ shares for retirees: dividend yield, franking, valuation, and price momentum.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 36.86
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 19.7 versus sector average of 15.8
- Trading above the 200-day average of 36.86
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 19.7 versus sector average of 15.8
- Analyst targets imply -6.0% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 27.4% is healthy
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-2.10%
Profit Margin27.42%
P/E Ratio19.7
ROE8.24%
ROA0.45%
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash FlowA$-17625999360
Industry P/E15.8
Technical analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.9
SupportA$37.00
ResistanceA$39.32
MA 20A$37.98
MA 50A$37.57
MA 200A$36.86
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.73
Valuation
Target PriceA$36.56
Upside/Downside-5.99%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.27%
Risk assessment
Beta0.33
Volatility19.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.