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AMV0:XETRAumovio SE Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

€35.28

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Aumovio SE is trading at €35.28, essentially on its calculated support level, after a modest decline from €36.24. The 20‑day SMA of €39.54 and 50‑day SMA of €41.86 sit well above the current price, indicating a short‑term downtrend, while the RSI of 32.9 suggests the stock is approaching oversold conditions. Technical momentum is bearish, with the MACD line below its signal and a negative histogram, and volume has been decreasing, adding to the downside pressure. Despite these signals, the forward PE of 9.2 and a price‑to‑book ratio of 0.38 point to a valuation that is markedly below both book value and peers, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target of €49, implying roughly 40% upside. Fundamentally, the company posted a 6.9% revenue decline, thin gross margins of 19%, and a marginal operating margin, yet it holds €1.45 bn in cash against €336 m of debt, providing a solid liquidity cushion. The earnings outlook improves with a forward EPS of €3.85 compared with a trailing loss of €1.06, suggesting a potential earnings turnaround. High 30‑day volatility (≈ 51%) and a beta of 0.66 indicate market swings but lower systematic risk. The auto‑parts sector is cyclical, and regulatory pressures around electric mobility add medium‑level risk, while the company’s global footprint spreads geographic exposure. In summary, the stock is undervalued on a value basis, carries elevated short‑term technical risk, but offers a compelling upside narrative driven by a strategic shift toward software‑defined electric mobility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price sitting at technical support
  • bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • forward EPS of €3.85 indicating earnings recovery
  • median target price of €49 implying ~40% upside
  • low price‑to‑book ratio of 0.38

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • strategic positioning in electric and software‑defined mobility
  • secular growth potential in auto‑tech sector
  • strong cash position relative to debt

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.90%
Profit Margin-0.56%
P/E Ratio9.2
Debt/Equity3.51
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow€1.3B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI32.9
Support€35.28
Resistance€43.58
MA 20€39.54
MA 50€41.86
MA 200€39.53
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value€135.43
Target Price€49.67
Upside/Downside40.79%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.67
Volatility51.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.