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AMP:MILAmplifon SpA Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time

€10.79

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Amplifon trades at €10.79, notably below its DCF fair value of €12.93, implying roughly a 16.7% upside. The stock benefits from a bullish MACD histogram, a neutral‑to‑slightly‑overbought RSI at 59, and an increasing volume trend, while staying comfortably above the identified support of €9.20. However, the company faces a steep debt load (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 167) and modest profitability (ROE ≈ 6.2%, profit margin ≈ 2.9%), with revenue contracting 1.4% YoY.
The dividend yield of 2.65% is attractive but the payout ratio hovers near 95%, raising sustainability concerns. Valuation metrics—forward PE ≈ 11.4 versus an industry average of 26.9—suggest a value‑oriented case, and demographic trends in hearing health provide a long‑run tailwind despite current earnings pressure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above short‑term SMAs
  • Proximity to support level provides downside cushion
  • High dividend yield but elevated payout ratio

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to DCF and forward PE
  • Potential upside toward €12.9 fair value
  • Improving earnings outlook reflected in forward EPS

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Demographic tailwinds boosting hearing‑aid demand
  • Heavy leverage and modest ROE limit upside
  • Dividend attractiveness offset by sustainability concerns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.40%
Profit Margin2.89%
P/E Ratio34.8
ROE6.24%
ROA3.74%
Debt/Equity166.76
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow€404.5M
Free Cash Flow€333.7M
Industry P/E26.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI59.6
Support€9.20
Resistance€11.69
MA 20€10.23
MA 50€9.71
MA 200€13.10
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

Fair Value€12.93
Target Price€12.58
Upside/Downside16.68%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility46.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.