AMP:MILAmplifon SpA Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time
€10.79
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Amplifon trades at €10.79, notably below its DCF fair value of €12.93, implying roughly a 16.7% upside. The stock benefits from a bullish MACD histogram, a neutral‑to‑slightly‑overbought RSI at 59, and an increasing volume trend, while staying comfortably above the identified support of €9.20. However, the company faces a steep debt load (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 167) and modest profitability (ROE ≈ 6.2%, profit margin ≈ 2.9%), with revenue contracting 1.4% YoY.
The dividend yield of 2.65% is attractive but the payout ratio hovers near 95%, raising sustainability concerns. Valuation metrics—forward PE ≈ 11.4 versus an industry average of 26.9—suggest a value‑oriented case, and demographic trends in hearing health provide a long‑run tailwind despite current earnings pressure.
The dividend yield of 2.65% is attractive but the payout ratio hovers near 95%, raising sustainability concerns. Valuation metrics—forward PE ≈ 11.4 versus an industry average of 26.9—suggest a value‑oriented case, and demographic trends in hearing health provide a long‑run tailwind despite current earnings pressure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and price above short‑term SMAs
- Proximity to support level provides downside cushion
- High dividend yield but elevated payout ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervaluation relative to DCF and forward PE
- Potential upside toward €12.9 fair value
- Improving earnings outlook reflected in forward EPS
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Demographic tailwinds boosting hearing‑aid demand
- Heavy leverage and modest ROE limit upside
- Dividend attractiveness offset by sustainability concerns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.40%
Profit Margin2.89%
P/E Ratio34.8
ROE6.24%
ROA3.74%
Debt/Equity166.76
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow€404.5M
Free Cash Flow€333.7M
Industry P/E26.9
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI59.6
Support€9.20
Resistance€11.69
MA 20€10.23
MA 50€9.71
MA 200€13.10
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61
Valuation
Fair Value€12.93
Target Price€12.58
Upside/Downside16.68%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.65%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility46.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.