AME:NYSEAMETEK, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
$224.52
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AMETEK posted $7.60 B of revenue with 11.3% YoY growth and a non‑GAAP EPS of $1.97 beating estimates, underscoring solid top‑line momentum. Trailing EPS stands at $6.62 while forward EPS is projected at $8.81, indicating earnings acceleration. The stock trades at a trailing PE of ~34 versus an industry average of ~30 and a forward PE of ~25, suggesting the market is pricing in high expectations. DCF analysis values the company at roughly $118 per share, well below the current price of $224, flagging a significant overvaluation. Technicals show a bullish alignment of the 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day SMAs, but the MACD has turned bearish and volume is declining, with the price hovering near the $220 support and $243 resistance. RSI at 44 points to neutral momentum. The dividend yield is modest at 0.61% with a low 19% payout ratio, supporting sustainability. Recent news highlights a 11.3% revenue increase in Q1, a strategic acquisition of an instrumentation portfolio, and shareholder approval of board proposals, all reinforcing growth prospects. However, the 30‑day volatility of 24% and beta around 0.9 indicate moderate market sensitivity. The combination of strong fundamentals, overvalued pricing, and mixed short‑term technical signals suggests a cautious but optimistic outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
- Price near resistance at $243 with limited upside
- Current valuation well above DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust revenue growth and upcoming acquisition expanding aerospace footprint
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Forward earnings growth narrowing the valuation gap
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term megatrends in aerospace, defense, and data centers
- Strong cash generation and solid ROE
- Strategic diversification reducing cyclicality risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.30%
Profit Margin20.11%
P/E Ratio33.9
ROE14.63%
ROA8.01%
Debt/Equity22.49
P/B Ratio4.7
Op. Cash Flow$1.8B
Free Cash Flow$1.4B
Industry P/E29.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI44.2
Support$220.00
Resistance$243.18
MA 20$230.17
MA 50$225.53
MA 200$207.96
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value$117.84
Target Price$259.16
Upside/Downside15.43%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.61%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.92
Volatility24.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.