ALSEA:BMVAlsea, S.A.B. de C.V. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-09 - not real-time
MX$43.81
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At MXN 43.81, Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has gained 6.6%. With RSI at 68.7 the momentum picture is approaching overbought, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Watch MXN 39.28 as support and MXN 43.95 as the nearer resistance level.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 23.9. The average analyst target implies 34.0% above today's level. The 2.29% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 18.0%, a beta of 0.26 and a maximum drawdown of 35.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 23.9. The average analyst target implies 34.0% above today's level. The 2.29% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 18.0%, a beta of 0.26 and a maximum drawdown of 35.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Top Market Events
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Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 50.57
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 50.57
- Analyst targets imply +34.0% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +34.0% versus the current price
- Revenue contracting at -1.8%
- P/E ratio of 23.9
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.80%
Profit Margin1.78%
P/E Ratio23.9
ROE20.22%
ROA6.55%
Debt/Equity603.91
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash FlowMX$17.3B
Free Cash FlowMX$5.8B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI68.7
SupportMX$39.28
ResistanceMX$43.95
MA 20MX$41.22
MA 50MX$42.03
MA 200MX$50.57
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.41
Valuation
Fair ValueMX$35.18
Target PriceMX$58.71
Upside/Downside34.00%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.26
Volatility17.98%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.