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AKBNK:BISTAkbank T.A.S. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

TRY 72.60

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Akbank’s share price of 72.6 TRY sits comfortably above its 20‑day (66.12), 50‑day (71.46) and 200‑day (70.45) moving averages, signaling short‑term strength. The RSI at 59.6 points to momentum that is still below overbought levels, while the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD line (‑0.95) sits above its signal (‑1.88), confirming a bullish technical backdrop. Volume is on an upward trend, adding conviction to the price action. On the valuation side, the trailing P/E of 6.0 is dramatically lower than the industry average of 16.8, and the forward P/E of 4.15 suggests further upside potential. A price‑to‑book of 1.25 and a dividend yield of 3.03% with a modest payout ratio of 18% underline the stock’s attractive income profile. Fundamental strength is evident in a ROE of 22.96% and a revenue growth rate of 43.7%, despite a high‑volatility environment (30‑day volatility ≈ 53%).
However, the bank carries a sizable debt load (≈ 828 bn TRY) and a negative operating cash flow, which tempers the optimism. The beta of 0.42 points to lower systematic risk, yet the 30‑day volatility and a max drawdown of 33% highlight notable price swings. The “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (fear‑greed index ≈ 90) may be pushing the stock toward its resistance near 72.6 TRY, suggesting caution on the near‑term. Overall, the combination of deep valuation discounts, solid profitability, and a sustainable dividend makes Akbank a compelling candidate for investors with a medium‑to‑long‑term horizon, while short‑term traders should watch for a potential pull‑back at the resistance level.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price trading at resistance with bullish MACD
  • Increasing volume supporting the move
  • RSI below overbought levels

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • P/E far below industry average
  • Strong ROE and revenue growth
  • Sustainable dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation metrics
  • Robust profitability and dividend stability
  • Resilient market position in Turkish banking

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth43.70%
Profit Margin29.89%
P/E Ratio6.0
ROE22.96%
ROA1.93%
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowTRY-680122777600
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI59.6
SupportTRY 60.65
ResistanceTRY 72.60
MA 20TRY 66.12
MA 50TRY 71.46
MA 200TRY 70.45
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.03%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.42
Volatility53.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.