AIR:NZXAir New Zealand Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-31 - not real-time
$133.19
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
AAR Corp. trades at $133.19, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 1.6%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 43.7 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. The recent range runs from support at $131.27 up to resistance at $154.00.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 27.4 times earnings against the sector's 29.4. Sell-side targets cluster 9.0% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 23.0% on a 5.7% profit margin.
Risk scores 8 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 57.0%, a beta of 1.67 and a maximum drawdown of 19.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 27.4 times earnings against the sector's 29.4. Sell-side targets cluster 9.0% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 23.0% on a 5.7% profit margin.
Risk scores 8 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 57.0%, a beta of 1.67 and a maximum drawdown of 19.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top Market Events
Shares of aviation and defense services provider AAR CORP NYSE:AIR jumped 4.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 112.97
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 27.4 versus sector average of 29.4
- Trading above the 200-day average of 112.97
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 27.4 versus sector average of 29.4
- Analyst targets imply +9.0% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +23.0%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.00%
Profit Margin5.67%
P/E Ratio27.4
ROE12.88%
ROA5.47%
Debt/Equity59.40
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$98.7M
Free Cash Flow$-50362500
Industry P/E29.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.7
Support$131.27
Resistance$154.00
MA 20$142.03
MA 50$138.71
MA 200$112.97
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.18
Valuation
Fair Value$32.75
Target Price$145.20
Upside/Downside9.02%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.67
Volatility56.98%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.