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AIG:NYSEAmerican International Group, Inc. New Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

$75.74

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

American International Group (AIG) trades at $75.74, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (75.48) but below the 50‑day (76.17) and 200‑day (77.81) averages, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI of 51.6 is neutral, while the MACD histogram has turned positive (0.11) suggesting emerging bullish momentum. Volatility is elevated at ~26% over the past 30 days, yet the stock’s beta of 0.20 points to low systematic risk. Fundamentally, AIG’s P/E of 13.3 is well under the industry average of 16.8, the P/B is near parity at 0.99, and the dividend yield of 2.64% is supported by a 31.7% payout ratio and strong free cash flow. The DCF model values the shares at $253, implying a ~16% upside from current levels.
Material news includes the appointment of Thomas Stoddard as an independent director and the upcoming CEO transition to Eric Andersen on June 1 2026, underscoring a leadership refresh that could enhance risk management and capital allocation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near immediate support at $72.15
  • Emerging bullish MACD signal
  • Leadership transition adds short‑term uncertainty

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation with ~16% upside to DCF fair value
  • Stable dividend yield and strong cash generation
  • Improving technicals toward resistance at $78.92

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term value gap (DCF $253 vs $75.74)
  • Low systematic risk (beta 0.20) and solid balance sheet
  • Sustainable dividend and ongoing leadership renewal

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.40%
Profit Margin11.84%
P/E Ratio13.3
ROE7.72%
ROA1.88%
Debt/Equity22.65
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$3.5B
Free Cash Flow$9.5B
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI51.6
Support$72.15
Resistance$78.92
MA 20$75.48
MA 50$76.17
MA 200$77.81
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$253.29
Target Price$87.80
Upside/Downside15.92%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.64%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.20
Volatility25.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.