AGILITY:ADXAgility Global PLC Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$2.38
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Agility Capital Holding Inc. trades at $2.38, a fraction of its DCF‑derived fair value of $37.39, indicating a massive price discount. Technical indicators are bearish: the 20‑day SMA (2.43) sits above the current price, MACD is below its signal line, and the RSI at 42 suggests limited upside momentum. Volume is rising but the stock remains near its calculated support of $2.30, with resistance at $2.54, highlighting a constrained trading range.
Fundamentally, the company reports a 12.6% revenue growth yet posts a -8.5% profit margin and a negative EPS of -$2.36, underscoring earnings weakness. Debt is a critical concern, with total debt of $12.43 M dwarfing cash of $3.51 M (debt‑to‑equity > 300%). Despite a low beta, the 30‑day volatility exceeds 50% and the max drawdown approaches 37%, reflecting sharp price swings. The balance sheet strain, combined with high sector and geographic risks, tempers the allure of the valuation gap.
Fundamentally, the company reports a 12.6% revenue growth yet posts a -8.5% profit margin and a negative EPS of -$2.36, underscoring earnings weakness. Debt is a critical concern, with total debt of $12.43 M dwarfing cash of $3.51 M (debt‑to‑equity > 300%). Despite a low beta, the 30‑day volatility exceeds 50% and the max drawdown approaches 37%, reflecting sharp price swings. The balance sheet strain, combined with high sector and geographic risks, tempers the allure of the valuation gap.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMA
- Proximity to support level with limited upside
- High short‑term volatility and liquidity constraints
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount to DCF fair value
- Revenue growth offset by negative earnings and high debt
- Moderate sector exposure and improving volume trends
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Deep price undervaluation relative to intrinsic estimate
- Potential upside from gaming and real‑estate asset development
- Long‑run recovery prospects if profitability improves and debt is reduced
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.60%
Profit Margin-8.50%
ROE-16.32%
ROA4.13%
Debt/Equity327.74
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$2.1M
Free Cash Flow$1.6M
Industry P/E32.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.2
Support$2.30
Resistance$2.54
MA 20$2.43
MA 50$2.47
MA 200$2.57
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair Value$37.39
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility53.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.