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ADS:XETRadidas AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$255.09

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook shows the share price trading below both the short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, signaling a bearish bias, while the MACD histogram remains positive and the signal line is bullish, suggesting a potential short‑term rebound. Momentum is moderate as reflected by an RSI in the mid‑range, and the price is hovering near a well‑defined support zone with resistance a few points higher. Volatility is elevated, and the beta is below one, indicating lower systematic risk than the broader market. Market sentiment is in the extreme greed region, which could fuel further buying pressure. Fundamental backdrop features robust revenue growth, exceptionally high gross margins, and strong operating profitability, complemented by a high return on equity. However, the balance sheet carries a sizable debt load, the price‑to‑earnings multiple exceeds the industry average, and there is no dividend, all of which temper the optimism.
The discounted cash flow model points to a fair value considerably above the current price, implying upside potential, while forward earnings estimates suggest earnings acceleration that could compress the forward P/E ratio. Analyst consensus is strongly positive, with a majority recommending a strong buy, and the company’s subscription‑based SaaS model provides recurring revenue and exposure to growing sectors such as building information modeling and cloud‑based design collaboration.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • bullish MACD histogram
  • elevated volatility and proximity to support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • strong revenue growth and high margins
  • undervalued relative to discounted cash flow
  • analyst consensus of strong buy

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • recurring SaaS subscription model
  • secular demand for design and BIM software
  • high return on equity and cash generation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.40%
Profit Margin15.60%
P/E Ratio48.7
ROE39.67%
ROA9.70%
Debt/Equity89.79
P/B Ratio17.8
Op. Cash Flow$2.5B
Free Cash Flow$2.8B
Industry P/E37.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI55.1
Support$215.01
Resistance$264.75
MA 20$239.24
MA 50$257.28
MA 200$291.52
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index80.82

Valuation

Fair Value$403.49
Target Price$331.75
Upside/Downside30.05%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.90
Volatility42.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.