We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

ADI:NASDAQAnalog Devices, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-21 - not real-time

$377.69

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Analog Devices is trading around $378, roughly 40% above its DCF‑derived fair value of $272 and well above the industry average P/E of 33, indicating that the stock is currently priced for strong growth expectations. The forward P/E of 25, a healthier multiple than the trailing 56, together with a 37% YoY revenue surge and a robust operating margin of 38% suggest that earnings momentum could justify a premium, yet the high beta of 1.57 and 30‑day volatility of nearly 50% flag considerable price swings. Technicals are mixed: RSI sits at 43, MACD shows a bearish divergence, and volume is on a downtrend, placing the price near its recent support of $367 while still far from the $432 resistance.
The recent completion of the Empower Semiconductor acquisition expands ADI’s AI‑compute power portfolio, broadening its addressable market and reinforcing its strategic position in high‑growth segments. Strong free cash flow, a moderate payout ratio of 60% and a 1.2% dividend yield support the sustainability of the dividend. Analyst consensus remains bullish with a “Buy” rating and a median price target of $450, implying roughly 20% upside from current levels. Overall, the fundamentals are solid, but the valuation premium and short‑term technical weakness suggest a cautious approach.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
  • Price near recent support level
  • High beta and elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Empower Semiconductor acquisition expanding AI power market
  • Strong revenue growth (37% YoY) and improving forward earnings multiple
  • Analyst median price target indicating ~20% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Positioning in AI‑driven power management and data conversion
  • Sustainable dividend supported by solid free cash flow
  • Long‑term industry tailwinds in automotive, industrial and communications

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth37.20%
Profit Margin26.01%
P/E Ratio56.4
ROE9.64%
ROA5.49%
Debt/Equity25.81
P/B Ratio5.5
Op. Cash Flow$5.1B
Free Cash Flow$3.9B
Industry P/E33.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.2
Support$366.72
Resistance$431.87
MA 20$389.93
MA 50$405.58
MA 200$325.87
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.52

Valuation

Fair Value$272.58
Target Price$457.40
Upside/Downside21.10%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.18%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.57
Volatility49.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.