ADES:IDXPT Akasha Wira International Tbk Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-20 - not real-time
TRY 0.92
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Adese Gayrimenkul is trading at 0.92 TRY, barely above its 52‑week low of 0.89 and well below the 20‑day SMA of 0.96, indicating a deep‑in‑the‑bearish zone. The RSI of 38 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD remains bearish with the line under the signal. Volume has been on a downtrend, and the 30‑day volatility exceeds 20 %, underscoring short‑term price instability. Despite the weak technical backdrop, the company boasts a 38 % revenue growth rate and a 20 % profit margin, delivering strong earnings relative to its modest price. Valuation multiples are strikingly low – a PE of 2.6 versus an industry average of 32.6, and a price‑to‑book of 0.33, while the DCF model implies a fair value near 5.4 TRY. The balance sheet shows ample liquidity with 394 M TRY cash against 180 M TRY debt, though free cash flow is negative.
The low beta of 0.4 points to limited market‑wide price swings, yet the stock’s historic max drawdown of nearly 80 % highlights severe downside risk. Operating cash flow is robust at 1.08 B TRY, but the large negative free cash flow signals heavy investment needs. No dividend is paid, so income‑focused investors have little appeal. Real‑estate exposure in Turkey adds medium regulatory and geographic risk, and the TRY currency introduces high currency risk. Given the massive valuation gap and solid earnings quality, the stock appears significantly undervalued, but investors must weigh the bearish technicals and macro‑environment. A cautious stance is warranted: monitor for a technical bounce before committing larger positions.
The low beta of 0.4 points to limited market‑wide price swings, yet the stock’s historic max drawdown of nearly 80 % highlights severe downside risk. Operating cash flow is robust at 1.08 B TRY, but the large negative free cash flow signals heavy investment needs. No dividend is paid, so income‑focused investors have little appeal. Real‑estate exposure in Turkey adds medium regulatory and geographic risk, and the TRY currency introduces high currency risk. Given the massive valuation gap and solid earnings quality, the stock appears significantly undervalued, but investors must weigh the bearish technicals and macro‑environment. A cautious stance is warranted: monitor for a technical bounce before committing larger positions.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators (price below SMAs, MACD bearish)
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
- Proximity to support level at 0.89 TRY
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Massive valuation discount (PE 2.6 vs industry 32.6, DCF fair value ~5.4 TRY)
- Strong revenue growth (38%) and high profit margin (20%)
- Low beta indicating limited market‑wide volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental upside potential with low price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales ratios
- Robust operating cash flow despite negative free cash flow
- Diversified real‑estate portfolio offsetting some sector risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth38.70%
Profit Margin20.84%
P/E Ratio2.6
ROE3.65%
ROA0.59%
Debt/Equity0.92
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash FlowTRY1.1B
Free Cash FlowTRY-1875675008
Industry P/E32.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.7
SupportTRY 0.89
ResistanceTRY 1.03
MA 20TRY 0.96
MA 50TRY 1.00
MA 200TRY 1.58
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.91
Valuation
Fair ValueTRY 5.37
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.40
Volatility20.66%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.