ADDTBS:AQUISUKAddtech AB Class B Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
SEK 343.80
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Addtech’s share price of SEK 343.8 sits comfortably above its 20‑day (SEK 340.6), 50‑day (SEK 334.3) and 200‑day (SEK 321.5) moving averages, confirming a strong bullish bias. The RSI of 56 indicates the stock is not overbought, while the MACD histogram of +0.20 and bullish signal line reinforce upward momentum. However, the valuation metrics raise red flags: a trailing PE of 41.7 far exceeds the industry average of 30.9, and the DCF‑derived fair value of SEK 132.6 suggests the market price is more than double intrinsic estimates. The company delivers solid fundamentals – 5.7% revenue growth, a healthy ROE of 26.9%, and a free cash flow generation of SEK 2.59 bn, supporting a dividend yield of 1.05% with a payout ratio under 40%. Yet, the balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity of 74.5% and a cash position that covers only a fraction of total debt, adding leverage risk. Market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear & Greed Index 92.9) but trading volume is waning, with a decreasing trend and an average daily volume of just a few dozen shares, raising liquidity concerns.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
- High valuation relative to peers and DCF
- Decreasing trading volume and elevated liquidity risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong ROE and free cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
- Persistent overvaluation (PE 41.7 vs industry 30.9)
- Moderate leverage with debt‑to‑equity of 74.5%
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Robust earnings growth and attractive margins
- Diversified European footprint reducing geographic concentration
- Sustainable dividend and solid cash generation despite current price premium
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.70%
Profit Margin9.65%
P/E Ratio41.7
ROE26.89%
ROA9.63%
Debt/Equity74.53
P/B Ratio10.8
Op. Cash FlowSEK3.1B
Free Cash FlowSEK2.6B
Industry P/E30.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI56.1
SupportSEK 322.60
ResistanceSEK 349.80
MA 20SEK 340.58
MA 50SEK 334.26
MA 200SEK 321.53
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Fair ValueSEK 132.61
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.05%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.33
Volatility22.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.