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ADDTBS:AQUISUKAddtech AB Class B Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-02 - not real-time

SEK 332.20

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Addtech AB trades just above its 20‑day SMA (~331.5) at a price of ~332, with the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs also trailing below, confirming a bullish price alignment. The MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI sits near the midpoint at ~51, indicating balanced momentum without overbought pressure. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 25% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of ~0.33 suggests the stock moves less than the broader market, offering a defensive tilt in an otherwise aggressive sector. Fundamentally, the company posts a solid ROE of ~28% and a healthy operating cash flow, but its P/E of ~42 dwarfs the industry average of ~30, and the DCF‑derived fair value (~83) is dramatically lower than the current market price, flagging significant overvaluation. The dividend yield of just under 1% is backed by a modest payout ratio (~40%) and ample free cash flow, supporting dividend sustainability despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~85%).
Overall, the technical picture is bullish, but valuation metrics and modest growth raise caution for longer horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, bullish MACD)
  • Stable trading volume supporting current price action
  • Moderate volatility with low beta limiting market swings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash generation and sustainable dividend payout
  • High valuation relative to peers and DCF fair value
  • Limited revenue growth (≈2%) tempering upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation indicated by P/E and DCF gap
  • Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio increasing financial risk
  • Modest growth outlook in a mature industrial distribution sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.90%
Profit Margin9.46%
P/E Ratio41.8
ROE28.60%
ROA9.50%
Debt/Equity85.47
P/B Ratio11.5
Op. Cash FlowSEK3.0B
Free Cash FlowSEK2.0B
Industry P/E30.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.0
SupportSEK 314.60
ResistanceSEK 347.20
MA 20SEK 331.51
MA 50SEK 326.12
MA 200SEK 320.19
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.13

Valuation

Fair ValueSEK 83.20
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.96%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.33
Volatility25.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.