ADDTBS:AQUISUKAddtech AB Class B Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-02 - not real-time
SEK 332.20
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Addtech AB trades just above its 20‑day SMA (~331.5) at a price of ~332, with the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs also trailing below, confirming a bullish price alignment. The MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI sits near the midpoint at ~51, indicating balanced momentum without overbought pressure. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 25% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of ~0.33 suggests the stock moves less than the broader market, offering a defensive tilt in an otherwise aggressive sector. Fundamentally, the company posts a solid ROE of ~28% and a healthy operating cash flow, but its P/E of ~42 dwarfs the industry average of ~30, and the DCF‑derived fair value (~83) is dramatically lower than the current market price, flagging significant overvaluation. The dividend yield of just under 1% is backed by a modest payout ratio (~40%) and ample free cash flow, supporting dividend sustainability despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~85%).
Overall, the technical picture is bullish, but valuation metrics and modest growth raise caution for longer horizons.
Overall, the technical picture is bullish, but valuation metrics and modest growth raise caution for longer horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, bullish MACD)
- Stable trading volume supporting current price action
- Moderate volatility with low beta limiting market swings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash generation and sustainable dividend payout
- High valuation relative to peers and DCF fair value
- Limited revenue growth (≈2%) tempering upside potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Significant overvaluation indicated by P/E and DCF gap
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio increasing financial risk
- Modest growth outlook in a mature industrial distribution sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.90%
Profit Margin9.46%
P/E Ratio41.8
ROE28.60%
ROA9.50%
Debt/Equity85.47
P/B Ratio11.5
Op. Cash FlowSEK3.0B
Free Cash FlowSEK2.0B
Industry P/E30.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.0
SupportSEK 314.60
ResistanceSEK 347.20
MA 20SEK 331.51
MA 50SEK 326.12
MA 200SEK 320.19
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.13
Valuation
Fair ValueSEK 83.20
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.96%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.33
Volatility25.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.