ADBE:NASDAQAdobe Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-29 - not real-time
$291.52
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Adobe Inc. is priced at $291.52, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. Over a rolling month the price has gained 22.9%. Relative strength is 68.8 — approaching overbought — and the MACD signal is bullish. The recent range runs from support at $245.46 up to resistance at $294.09.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 16.5 versus a 35.7 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 7.2% below the current quote. Revenue is growing at 12.7% on a 28.7% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 51.9%, a beta of 0.31 and a maximum drawdown of 47.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 16.5 versus a 35.7 sector average, below the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 7.2% below the current quote. Revenue is growing at 12.7% on a 28.7% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 51.9%, a beta of 0.31 and a maximum drawdown of 47.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Daniel Sparks, The Motley Fool Aug 16, 2026 1 Key Points - Adobe shares trade at about 10 times the earnings analysts...Adobe Systems ADBE closed the most recent trading day at $275.Adobe has lost nearly a quarter of its value over the past year while posting record revenue and tripling its AI...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 269.18
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day price change of +22.9%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 16.5 versus sector average of 35.7
- Trading above the 200-day average of 269.18
- Analyst targets imply -7.2% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 16.5 versus sector average of 35.7
- Analyst targets imply -7.2% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 28.7% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.70%
Profit Margin28.69%
P/E Ratio16.5
ROE62.95%
ROA19.93%
Debt/Equity61.44
P/B Ratio10.1
Op. Cash Flow$10.5B
Free Cash Flow$9.2B
Industry P/E35.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI68.8
Support$245.46
Resistance$294.09
MA 20$268.25
MA 50$240.18
MA 200$269.18
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.66
Valuation
Fair Value$502.21
Target Price$270.61
Upside/Downside-7.17%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.31
Volatility51.92%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.