ACEM:AQUISEUAcea S.p.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
€22.45
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ACEA S.p.A. trades near a key support level and exhibits a pronounced oversold signal, with the 14‑day RSI deep in the low teens. Technical momentum is bullish as the 20‑day moving average sits above both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, while the MACD has turned bearish but remains close to the signal line.
Fundamentally, the stock offers a generous dividend yield that outpaces the broader market, a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the industry average, and a price‑to‑book ratio suggesting a discount to book value. However, the balance sheet is heavily levered, with debt exceeding equity by a wide margin, and free cash flow is negative despite strong operating cash generation. The DCF model implies a valuation many times the current price, indicating substantial upside potential if the company can sustain earnings and manage its debt load.
Fundamentally, the stock offers a generous dividend yield that outpaces the broader market, a price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the industry average, and a price‑to‑book ratio suggesting a discount to book value. However, the balance sheet is heavily levered, with debt exceeding equity by a wide margin, and free cash flow is negative despite strong operating cash generation. The DCF model implies a valuation many times the current price, indicating substantial upside potential if the company can sustain earnings and manage its debt load.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI indicating potential rebound
- Price at a strong support level with bullish SMA alignment
- Attractive dividend yield offering immediate income
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Valuation gap suggests upside but debt concerns may limit gains
- Stable earnings from diversified utility operations
- Regulatory environment provides predictable cash flows
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF indicates substantial intrinsic value relative to current price
- Consistent dividend payments supporting total return
- Utility sector resilience and long‑term infrastructure demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.60%
Profit Margin17.83%
P/E Ratio12.6
ROE13.16%
ROA2.89%
Debt/Equity171.85
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow€1.9B
Free Cash Flow€-751041280
Industry P/E20.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI13.9
Support€22.45
Resistance€23.28
MA 20€23.20
MA 50€22.92
MA 200€22.08
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value€64.06
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.23%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.15
Volatility11.39%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.