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ABNB:NASDAQAirbnb, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

$132.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Airbnb’s stock is trading at $132.1, comfortably above its 20‑day (136.36) and 50‑day (134.30) SMAs but still below the 200‑day SMA (128.45), indicating a short‑term bullish bias within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI sits at 43, suggesting the price is not yet overbought, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence with the line below the signal and a negative histogram, warning of possible near‑term pull‑backs. Volume has been decreasing, which could limit upside momentum in the immediate term, but the support level at $128.20 provides a cushion. On the valuation side, the DCF‑derived fair value of $163.6 implies roughly 19% upside, and the “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 91.6) underscores strong market appetite. Fundamentally, ABNB delivers 17.9% revenue growth, an 82.9% gross margin, and a robust ROE of 32%, supported by $12.0 B cash and modest debt, reinforcing its growth‑oriented profile. The lack of dividend payout confirms a reinvestment‑heavy strategy, aligning with its high‑growth classification. Despite a beta of 1.25 and 30‑day volatility of 24%, the company’s global footprint diversifies geographic risk, while regulatory exposure remains medium as local lodging rules evolve. Overall, the stock appears undervalued relative to its intrinsic estimate, and the consensus “Buy” from 35 analysts adds credibility to a longer‑term upside thesis.
Given the mixed technical signals, investors may adopt a cautious stance in the near term, but the strong fundamentals, attractive valuation gap, and secular travel trends justify a buy recommendation for medium and long horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram suggests potential near‑term pull‑back
  • Support level at $128.20 provides downside protection
  • Decreasing volume may limit short‑term upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value indicates ~19% upside
  • Strong revenue growth and high gross margins
  • Analyst consensus of Buy with 35 coverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for alternative travel accommodations
  • Robust cash generation and low debt ratio
  • Network effects and expanding experiences platform

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth17.90%
Profit Margin19.90%
P/E Ratio32.5
ROE32.32%
ROA6.25%
Debt/Equity33.19
P/B Ratio10.3
Op. Cash Flow$4.6B
Free Cash Flow$3.2B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI43.0
Support$128.20
Resistance$146.97
MA 20$136.36
MA 50$134.30
MA 200$128.45
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$163.62
Target Price$156.79
Upside/Downside18.69%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.25
Volatility24.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.