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ABMB:MYXAlliance Bank Malaysia Bhd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$0.06

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Abcourt Mines is trading at $0.06, essentially glued to its 20‑day SMA and sitting just above the computed support of $0.06 while the 200‑day SMA (0.067) remains higher, suggesting limited upside. Technical indicators are weak: the 14‑day RSI sits at 40.4 (below the neutral 50), the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, and the stock’s beta of 1.83 points to amplified moves in a market that is currently in an “Extreme Greed” phase (Fear & Greed Index 91.7). Volatility is extreme, with a 30‑day price swing exceeding 100%, and although volume is increasing, the average daily volume remains low relative to the market cap, flagging liquidity concerns. On the fundamentals side, the company reports a gross margin of –99% and operating margins of –84%, with operating cash flow and free cash flow deeply negative, a debt load of $36 M against $14.8 M of cash, and a price‑to‑book ratio of –41, indicating that the market price vastly exceeds the accounting value of assets. The price‑to‑sales multiple of 5.59 is modest for a mining explorer, but the lack of earnings (PE, forward PE = 0) and zero dividend payout underscore the absence of cash generation. The only material news hint is a speculative note that the firm may break even soon, yet no concrete project milestones or financing updates are confirmed, making the upside speculative at best.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and RSI below 50
  • Price at technical support with limited upside
  • Extreme short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Speculative breakeven news may provide catalyst
  • Continued negative cash flow and high debt
  • Improving volume but still thin liquidity

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental deficits (negative margins, zero earnings)
  • High beta and sector volatility
  • Potential for asset value recovery if exploration succeeds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin-164.76%
ROA-33.65%
P/B Ratio-41.4
Op. Cash Flow$-26442300
Free Cash Flow$-36119108

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI40.4
Support$0.06
Resistance$0.08
MA 20$0.07
MA 50$0.07
MA 200$0.07
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.7

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.83
Volatility101.27%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.