ABMB:MYXAlliance Bank Malaysia Bhd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-18 - not real-time
$0.05
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
ABMB is trading at $0.05, sitting below its 20‑day (0.0505), 50‑day (0.0576) and 200‑day (0.0665) simple moving averages, signaling a clear bearish price environment. The 14‑day RSI at 39 suggests modest oversold pressure, while the MACD line has turned marginally bullish against its signal, yet both remain in negative territory. Volume has been on a downtrend, and the 30‑day volatility of roughly 120% combined with a beta of 1.65 points to a highly erratic price profile.
Fundamentally, the company is in distress: revenue is flat at $12.8 M, gross margin is a staggering –99 % and operating margin –84 %, resulting in a net loss of over $1.6 M per share. Operating and free cash flows are deeply negative, and total debt ($36.8 M) exceeds cash on hand ($14.8 M), leaving a negative book value per share and a price‑to‑book ratio of –35. The price‑to‑sales multiple of 4.7 appears unjustified given the lack of earnings, and the stock pays no dividend.
With the market sentiment in the “Extreme Greed” zone (fear‑greed index 87.9) and a historical max drawdown of –50 %, the upside potential is limited unless a material discovery or financing event materializes. Investors should therefore treat ABMB as a high‑risk speculative play rather than a reliable income or value investment.
Fundamentally, the company is in distress: revenue is flat at $12.8 M, gross margin is a staggering –99 % and operating margin –84 %, resulting in a net loss of over $1.6 M per share. Operating and free cash flows are deeply negative, and total debt ($36.8 M) exceeds cash on hand ($14.8 M), leaving a negative book value per share and a price‑to‑book ratio of –35. The price‑to‑sales multiple of 4.7 appears unjustified given the lack of earnings, and the stock pays no dividend.
With the market sentiment in the “Extreme Greed” zone (fear‑greed index 87.9) and a historical max drawdown of –50 %, the upside potential is limited unless a material discovery or financing event materializes. Investors should therefore treat ABMB as a high‑risk speculative play rather than a reliable income or value investment.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major moving averages
- Decreasing volume and high volatility
- Negative earnings and cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from exploration assets
- Continued financial distress
- Uncertain financing prospects
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Persistent negative margins and debt overhang
- No dividend or earnings recovery in sight
- High beta and historical drawdown risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin-164.76%
ROA-33.65%
P/B Ratio-35.1
Op. Cash Flow$-26442300
Free Cash Flow$-36219848
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.1
Support$0.05
Resistance$0.06
MA 20$0.05
MA 50$0.06
MA 200$0.07
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.91
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.65
Volatility119.78%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.